Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS11 KWNS 270551
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270550
NEZ000-270745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1404
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1250 AM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...ECNTRL NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 270550Z - 270745Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

SUMMARY...AN ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE THREAT MAY CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER
HOUR OR TWO WITH MARGINALLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE. THE THREAT
SHOULD GRADUALLY DECREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AND WW
ISSUANCE IS NOT EXPECTED.

DISCUSSION...LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A CORRIDOR OF LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE FROM SERN KS EXTENDING NNWWD INTO CNTRL NEB WHERE SFC
DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S F. MODERATE INSTABILITY IS
LOCATED ON THE WRN EDGE OF THE MOIST AIRMASS ACROSS WRN AND CNTRL
NEB WITH A QUASI-LINEAR CONVECTIVE SYSTEM ONGOING ALONG THE ERN EDGE
OF MODERATE INSTABILITY. THE HASTINGS WSR-88D VWP HAS 0-6M SHEAR
NEAR 40 KT WHICH MAY SUPPORT A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT WITH A FEW
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.
HOWEVER...THE LINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO WEAKER INSTABILITY
OVER SRN AND ERN NEB WHICH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO DISORGANIZATION OF THE
LINE WITH TIME.

..BROYLES/GRAMS.. 07/27/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OAX...GID...LBF...

LAT...LON   42449847 41609885 41019940 40769975 40459958 40189896
            40139778 40989700 42149712 42449847




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