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FNAK79 PAFG 031444
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Spot Forecast for YTA-MooseCreekPA-MPTR-2024...DOI-BLM
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
644 AM AKDT Fri May 3 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 AKDT on May 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
An Arctic cold front over the fire will move north today.

A thermal low pressure trough over the Alaska Range will move north
over the fire tonight. Temperatures will warm to the upper 50s and
lower 60s with RH falling to 20-30 percent along this feature today.

A strong low in the Southern Bering Sea will move to the southeast
Bering Sea tonight, into Bristol Bay on Sat and into the Gulf of
Alaska on Sun. This will cause southerly Chinook winds develop
across the Alaska Range starting late today then continuing into Sat,
then decrease Sat night.  This will bringing dry, windy and warm
conditions to the Tanana Valley this evening through Sat night.

Isolated to scattered showers are expected over most of the
Eastern Interior on Sun as the Chinook ends.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the east in
                    the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast 10 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 4400 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 8 mph.
Inversion burnoff...11 AM.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 9 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast 10 mph.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 11 mph.
Inversion setup.....10 PM.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 10 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL increasing to 7200 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 13 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9 AM.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs
in the lower 60s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...
Numerous showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 50s.
Northeast winds around 7 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Cloudy with numerous showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...BRADER
Requested by...Matthew Matush
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412826.1/AFG
.DELDT 05/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0