Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KBIS 291437
AFDBIS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
937 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 930 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

SKIES CONTINUE TO CLEAR OVER THE AREA AS UPPER TROUGH PUSHES OFF
TO THE EAST. WINDS ALSO CONTINUE TO DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST AS
HIGHEST PRESSURE RISES ALSO CONTINUE TO PUSH WELL OFF TO THE EAST.
FOR MORNING UPDATE HAVE CLEARED OUT CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION...AND
HAVE TRIMMED OFF WINDS TO THE WEST. WILL KEEP WIND ADVISORY GOING
OVER THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY WHERE STRONGER GUSTS REMAIN...THOUGH
THESE WINDS WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DIMINISH. UPDATES HAVE
BEEN SENT.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 701 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

WINDS RAPIDLY DIMINISHING AND HAVE CANCELLED MOST OF THE HIGH
WIND WARNING. JUST KEPT THE FAR SOUTH CENTRAL. TRIMMED PORTIONS OF
THE NORTH AND WEST CENTRAL OF THE WIND ADVISORY AS WELL. CLOUDS
CLEARING RAPIDLY. PRECIP WILL END SOUTHEAST CWA BY 9 AM.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 330 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

MAIN FOCUS FOR THE SHORT TERM IS EARLY MORNING RAINFALL AND STRONG WINDS.

EARLY THIS MORNING A COLD FRONT CONTINUED TO PROPAGATE ACROSS
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. THE COLD FRONT IS PROVIDING AMPLE LIFT TO
SUPPORT AN AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. THE
FRONT AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY MOVE OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST AND
BE OUT OF THE AREA SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK. EVEN THOUGH SOME BRIEF
HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE LIKELY...ONLY MINOR LIQUID ACCUMULATION IS
EXPECTED (AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH) AS THEIR RESIDENCE TIMES WILL
BE MINIMAL DUE TO THEIR QUICK MOVEMENT.

IMPRESSIVE PRESSURE RISES ARE FOLLOWING THE FRONT. A 7MB/3HR
PRESSURE RISE WAS OBSERVED ACROSS NORTHEASTERN MONTANA. THESE
RISES WILL MOVE ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS
MORNING AND BE RESPONSIBLE FOR PRODUCING VERY WINDY CONDITIONS. AT
THIS TIME SEVERAL SITES ACROSS WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA WERE REPORTING
WIND GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH. AS WINDS MAINTAIN A WEST NORTHWEST
COMPONENT...DOWNSLOPING MOMENTUM WILL FURTHER ENHANCE WIND SPEEDS.
CURRENT WIND HEADLINES APPEAR IN GOOD SHAPE WITH WINDS INCREASING
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AND QUICKLY DECREASING LATER THIS
MORNING.

THIS AFTERNOON...SKIES SHOULD CLEAR OUT AND TEMPERATURES CLIMB
INTO THE 50S.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 330 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

THE EXTENDED PERIOD REMAINS PROGRESSIVE WITH BROAD ANTICYCLONIC
FLOW ALOFT MONDAY AND TUESDAY THAT WILL MAINTAIN ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER FOR THE FIRST COULD OF DAYS. THIS IS
FOLLOWED BY GENERAL TROUGHINESS WITH SEVERAL SHORTWAVES BRINGING
INTERMITTENT SLIGHT CHANCES FOR RAIN WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
HIGHS WILL BE QUIT MILD MONDAY AND TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY TUESDAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S MONDAY AND 60S TO THE UPPER 70S ON TUESDAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY BRINGING GUSTY WINDS WITH THE CHANGE OF AIRMASS.
POSSIBLE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AGAIN DURING THIS PERIOD. EVEN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING COULD BE BREEZY WITH GFS
FORECAST 6HR PRESSURE RISES OF 13 MB MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN NORTH
DAKOTA BY THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 701 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

WIND DIMINISHING AND SKIES RAPIDLY CLEARING. AFTER 9 AM CDT VFR
ALL TAF SITES.


&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR NDZ025-037-047-
048-050-051.

&&

$$

UPDATE...JJS
SHORT TERM...AJ
LONG TERM...WAA
AVIATION...WAA





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.