Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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000
FNUS73 KBIS 220906
FWSBIS

Spot Forecast for Campground Rx...MT-BCWF
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
406 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on May 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Light and variable winds early this morning will become northerly and breezy later
this morning and persist through the early evening. Wind speeds will range from
15 to 20 mph...with gusts near 30 mph. Min RH values should range from 35 to 45 percent.
Scattered...off and on rain showers are possible through the day.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
                    late in the morning, then chance of rain
                    showers in the late morning and afternoon.
CWR.................9 percent.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 7700-9200 ft AGL in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 6 mph increasing to north 25
                    to 28 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (26100 knot-ft) increasing to excellent
                    (180000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 (low) to (moderate).

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........79  84  78  77  89  89  94  93  96
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).20  30  30  40  40  40  40  40  30
Temp............50  54  57  58  59  60  60  61  61
RH..............56  48  45  44  45  46  46  48  46
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..11  14  15  16  16  16  16  15  16
20 FT wind gust.15  20  20  25  25  25  25  20  25
Mix hgt (kft)...5.2 7.7 8.2 8.7 9.2 8.8 8.3 7.8 7.9
Transp wind dir.NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.6   25  25  25  28  28  28  26  26
Haines index....5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100026  170 181 192 221 210 199 180 182

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy then
                    becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers
                    early in the evening, then slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the evening.
CWR.................9 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 42.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 16 mph.
Mixing height.......7000-8100 ft AGL decreasing to 1000-1600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North 25 to 26 mph decreasing to around 14 mph
                    early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (154900 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
                    to fair (11800-19600 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........90  94  89  84  78  76  71  65  69  73  77  72
Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).30  20  20  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............60  59  56  54  51  49  48  47  46  45  44  43
RH..............37  44  51  52  61  66  71  74  76  79  83  87
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..16  15  14  12  11  11  12  12  11  11  10  11
20 FT wind gust.25  20  20  20  15  15  20  20  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...8.0 8.1 7.0 6.0 4.9 4.2 3.5 2.8 2.2 1.6 1.0 1.6
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.26  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  14  14
Haines index....4   4   4   5   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/1000184 178 155 132 108 93  77  62  48  35  12  20

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......2300-3800 ft AGL increasing to 7000-8300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North 14 to 22 mph increasing to 21 to 30 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (27400-55600 knot-ft) increasing
                    to excellent (132800 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 5 (very low) to (moderate).

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........66        61        69        61
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
Chc of pcpn (%).10        10        10        10
Temp............42        50        57        61
RH..............89        68        49        41
20 FT wind......N 11G15   N 12G20   N 14G20   N 13G20
Mix hgt (ft)....2300      4700      7000      8100
Transport wind..N 14      N 22      NE 30     N 25
Haines index....3         3         3         4
SDspl kt-ft/100027        116       161       156

$$
Forecaster...JONES
Requested by...BCWF
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1709846.0/BIS
.EMAIL mtbcwf@gmail.com



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