879
FNUS73 KBIS 270925
FWSBIS

Spot Forecast for Teal slough...Usfws
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
425 AM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry weather is expected today, with morning clouds clearing
leading to a mostly sunny afternoon. Winds will be out of the
northeast, transitioning to more easterly tonight, then
southeasterly by Sunday. Despite another storm system moving
through the region, the prescribed burn area is expected to remain
dry through the weekend.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 12 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 12 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (41300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (69100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........40  20  5   1   1   1   4   8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............43  46  48  50  51  52  53  53
RH..............60  51  46  41  37  35  33  32
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..15  14  14  14  14  13  12  12
20 FT wind gust.21  21  21  21  20  20  19  19
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 2.9 3.7 4.3 4.6 4.9 4.9 5.0
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E
Transp wind spd.21  20  20  18  17  15  13  12
Haines index....3   3   2   2   2   3   3   3
Dispr kt-ft/1K..41  50  63  69  69  63  54  50

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 28.
Max humidity........88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 11 to 13 mph shifting to the
                    southeast
after 3 am.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 13 to 17 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 14 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (53200 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (6000 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........13  17  14  11  12  13  16  19  15  12  10  9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............53  51  48  44  41  39  37  36  34  32  31  29
RH..............32  34  40  49  57  62  67  67  72  75  78  85
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..12  12  11  11  11  11  12  13  13  12  11  11
20 FT wind gust.18  19  18  17  17  18  19  20  20  18  18  17
Mix hgt (kft)...4.8 4.2 3.9 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.13  13  14  13  14  16  17  17  17  16  16  14
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
Dispr kt-ft/1K..53  47  46  7   7   7   9   11  9   9   8   6

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Clear to partly cloudy.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 11 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 14 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (53400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........13        37        26        32
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............28        35        45        52
RH..............88        72        53        41
20 FT wind......SE 11G17  E 11G17   SE 11G17  SE 12G18
Mix hgt (ft)....500       1300      2800      3600
Transport wind..SE 14     E 15      SE 16     SE 16
Haines index....4         4         4         3
Dispr kt-ft/1K..6         17        39        51

$$
Forecaster...HEINERT
Requested by...Calvin
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412588.0/BIS
.DELDT 04/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL calvin_moldenhauer@fws.gov