Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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986
FNUS73 KBIS 271213
FWSBIS

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST MUD LAKE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
713 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

CLEAR SKIES ARE FORECAST TODAY WITH A HIGH TEMPERATURE
IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH AT IGNITION
WILL INCREASE TO 12 TO 17 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
TRANSITION TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
TEMPERATURE.........43 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
RH..................82 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 2500-3500
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 17
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /4500 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
                    36000-53000 KNOT-FT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE) AT IGNITION...MAX 5.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
CHC OF THDR (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TEMP............43  47  51  55  59  61  63  64  65  64
RH..............82  71  63  53  44  39  34  31  34  35
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..5   6   6   6   10  12  12  10   8   6
20 FT WIND GUST.15  10  10  10  17  18  18  15  15  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.5 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.5 2.5
MIXNG WIND DIR..W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
MIXNG WIND SPD..7   7   12  12  12  17  17  17  17  17
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDSPL KT-FT/10005   8   12  23  35  47  49  51  53  36

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 17 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 3 TO 6
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (700-19000 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
WEATHER COV.....                                        PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....                                        FST FST
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
CHC OF THDR (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TEMP............63  60  56  52  49  46  44  42  40  39  38  37
RH..............41  47  55  61  68  76  79  82  86  89  93  96
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..6   5   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.10      5   5   10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2
MIXNG WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
MIXNG WIND SPD..17  6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDSPL KT-FT/100019  2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64.
RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........VARIABLE IN AT 3 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (0-12800 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 (VERY LOW) TO (LOW).

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........16        24        11        3
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY    PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FROST     FROST     NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0         0         0         0
CHC OF THDR (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
TEMP............36        44        55        63
RH..............100       86        64        48
20 FT WIND......N 2G5     N 2G5     NE 2G5    NE 3G5
MIX HGT (FT)....200       600       1900      3000
MIXNG WIND......NE 3      N 3       W 0       NE 3
HAINES INDEX....4         4         3         4
SDSPL KT-FT/10001         0         5         11

$$
FORECASTER...AYD
REQUESTED BY...JEFF DION
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1601063.0/BIS
.EMAIL JEFF_DION@FWS.GOV



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