Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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FNUS73 KBIS 140909
FWSBIS

Spot Forecast for Cannon Ball Rx...BIA-Standing Rock Agency
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
409 AM CDT Fri Jul 14 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on July 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

South winds around 15 mph will be the dominate speed/direction today.

Temperatures will quickly climb into the low 90s by noon and top out around 100.

MIN RH around 20 percent can be expected by late afternoon.

A cold front will move through overnight, bringing a chance for thunderstorms and a
shift in wind direction to the north.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 100.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......400-1300 ft AGL increasing to 8600-10400 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (3200-44500 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good to excellent (59000-102900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........6 (high).

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   4   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............61  65  70  76  82  86  90  94  96  98  100
RH..............78  70  58  51  43  37  34  28  26  24  22
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   7   9   10  10  10  10  10  9   9   10
20 FT wind gust.10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.7 1.0 1.3 2.5 3.7 4.9 6.7 8.6 10  10
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  14  14  14  14  14  14  9   9
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
SDspl kt-ft/10003   6   9   16  30  45  59  81  103 83  80

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 26 percent in the
                    evening, then decreasing to 0 percent after
                    midnight.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1 increasing to 3 in the evening, then
                    decreasing to 1 after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds up to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......9100-9600 ft AGL decreasing to 200-400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 16 mph shifting to the east
                    around 7 mph late in the evening, then shifting
                    to the south around 6 mph after midnight
                    shifting to the northwest early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (76400 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent (86500 knot-ft) early in the evening,
                    then decreasing to poor to good (900-45200
                    knot-ft) in the late evening and overnight.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........17  28  43  50  61  58  50  41  31  21  11  10
Weather cov.....    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0   30  30  30  30  30  30  0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   30  30  30  30  30  30  10  10  10  10  0
LAL.............1   3   3   3   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............100 98  92  84  79  77  76  75  73  71  69  66
RH..............20  23  29  40  47  53  54  56  59  63  69  75
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..10  9   8   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...9.6 9.1 6.2 3.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  E   E   E   S   S   S   NW  NW
Transp wind spd.9   16  16  16  7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
SDspl kt-ft/100076  128 87  45  2   2   2   1   1   1   1   2

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......600-2100 ft AGL increasing to 4900-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 9 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (2800-44600 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 6 (low) to (high).

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........8         3         2         1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............65        72        83        89
RH..............78        66        43        30
20 FT wind......N 6G10    NE 8G10   NE 9G10   NE 8G10
Mix hgt (ft)....600       1700      3400      4900
Transport wind..NW 6      NE 16     NE 15     NE 13
Haines index....6         5         5         4
SDspl kt-ft/10003         22        39        43

$$
Forecaster...JONES
Requested by...Duwayne Traversie
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1712656.0/BIS
.EMAIL duwayne.traversie@bia.gov


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