Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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000
FNUS73 KBIS 181132
FWSBIS

SPOT FORECAST FOR ASH COULEE CREEK...EPA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
532 AM CST WED JAN 18 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0800 MST ON JANUARY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO TUESDAY ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES A
FEW DEGREES WARMER. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY
AND MORE SOUTHERLY TONIGHT. WARM AIR ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN A STRONG LOW
LEVEL INVERSION THAT WILL AGAIN RESULT IN POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
LOWEST WIND CHILL...24.
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (600 KNOT-FT).

TIME (MST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
SKY (%).........9   8   15  14  6   4   3   3   3
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............32  33  35  36  39  40  40  38  36
WIND CHILL (F)..25  26  28  30  34  35  35  33  30
SURFACE WND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
SURFACE WND SPD.6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
SURFACE WND GST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
SDSPL KT-FT/10001   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20.
LOWEST WIND CHILL...15.
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (300 KNOT-FT).

TIME (MST)      5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM
SKY (%).........4   3   3   4   4   5   5   11  16  22  22  21
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............34  32  30  28  29  27  27  26  25  24  24  23
WIND CHILL (F)..28  26  23  21  22  20  19  18  17  17  17  15
SURFACE WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
SURFACE WND SPD.6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5
SURFACE WND GST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
SDSPL KT-FT/10001   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
FORECASTER...ABELING
REQUESTED BY...GINA CRISTIANO
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 1604213.38/BIS
.EMAIL ROMERO.DAVID@EPA.GOV,CRISTIANO.GINA@EPA.GOV,DHIEUX.JOYEL@EPA.GOV,GUY.KERRY@EPA.GOV



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