Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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FNUS73 KBIS 170950
FWSBIS

SPOT FORECAST FOR ASH COULEE CREEK...EPA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
350 AM CST TUE JAN 17 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0800 MST ON JANUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE PRAIRIE
PROVINCES OF CANADA THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL MAINTAIN A DRY
SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW TODAY AND TONIGHT. A PRONOUNCED WARMING TREND WILL
BE SEEN WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY AROUND 34 AND LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT IN THE MID 20S. HOWEVER WARM AIR ALOFT WILL CREATE A STRONG
TEMPERATURE INVERSION LIMITING THE SMOKE DISPERSAL TO POOR BOTH TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
COLDEST WIND CHILL..0.
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (400 KNOT-FT).

TIME (MST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
SKY (%).........7   5   5   5   6   7   6   7   8
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............16  20  23  27  31  33  34  33  32
WIND CHILL (F)..4   9   12  16  21  24  25  24  23
SURFACE WND DIR.S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
SURFACE WND SPD.8   8   8   10  10  10  10  10  9
SURFACE WND GST.10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
SDSPL KT-FT/10001   1   1   2   3   3   3   2   2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 26.
COLDEST WIND CHILL..19.
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (500 KNOT-FT).

TIME (MST)      5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM
SKY (%).........15  13  12  5   8   5   5   8   11  14  15  17
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............30  29  28  28  28  28  28  28  28  28  28  28
WIND CHILL (F)..21  20  19  19  19  19  19  19  19  19  19  19
SURFACE WND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
SURFACE WND SPD.8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
SURFACE WND GST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
SDSPL KT-FT/10001   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
FORECASTER...ABELING
REQUESTED BY...GINA CRISTIANO
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 1604213.37/BIS
.EMAIL ROMERO.DAVID@EPA.GOV,CRISTIANO.GINA@EPA.GOV,DHIEUX.JOYEL@EPA.GOV,GUY.KERRY@EPA.GOV



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