Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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Spot Forecast for Hb-29/30/31...Usfws
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
456 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on April 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Surface ridge of high pressure will remain east of the prescribed
burn area today, resulting in a steady southeasterly wind. The sky
will be partly to mostly sunny, with high clouds streaming north
and east over the area. Quiet weather continues tonight and into
Monday for the local area, before showers increase Monday night
into Tuesday over northwest and north central North Dakota.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly to mostly sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (34900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (57300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........51  41  31  46  62  43  24
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............44  47  50  52  54  56  56
RH..............60  52  47  43  38  36  38
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..11  11  12  12  11  11  11
20 FT wind gust.17  18  19  19  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 3.3 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.2
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.15  17  18  17  16  15  15
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Dispr kt-ft/1K..35  50  57  57  57  55  54

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly to mostly cloudy.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (52300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2200 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........34  44  45  46  47  48  50  51  48  45  42  41
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............56  55  52  48  45  42  41  40  38  37  36  34
RH..............38  38  44  54  62  73  78  81  85  91  94  100
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..11  12  11  10  9   8   8   8   7   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.18  18  17  15  14  14  13  13  11  9   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...4.2 4.0 3.5 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.14  15  15  15  14  15  13  10  9   9   8   7
Haines index....4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Dispr kt-ft/1K..50  52  46  9   7   7   6   4   3   3   3   2

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 6 mph shifting to the west 7 to
                    9 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (43900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........40        26        10        13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
Chc of pcpn (%).10        0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............34        42        54        61
RH..............100       82        51        39
20 FT wind......SE 5G8    SE 6G10   SE 4G5    SE 7G9
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1000      3100      4900
Transport wind..S 6       SE 5      SW 6      W 9
Haines index....4         5         4         5
Dispr kt-ft/1K..2         4         17        37

$$
Forecaster...HEINERT
Requested by...Calvin
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412618.0/BIS
.DELDT 04/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL calvin_moldenhauer@fws.gov