Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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000
FNUS73 KBIS 121011
FWSBIS

SPOT FORECAST FOR ASH COULEE CREEK...EPA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
411 AM CST THU JAN 12 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0800 MST ON JANUARY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT PATCHY BLOWING SNOW EARLY THIS MORNING AS A STRONG ARCTIC
FRONT PUSHES THROUGH. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH ZERO DEGREES
THIS AFTERNOON WITH DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS CONTINUING THROUGH THE BURN PERIOD.
BRISK WEST WINDS IN THE MORNING WILL ABATE THIS AFTERNOON AND BECOME SOUTHERLY
LATER TODAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. NO PRECIPITATION
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY BLOWING SNOW EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND ZERO.
COLDEST WIND CHILL..-36.
SURFACE WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 10 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. THEN BECOMING SOUTH
                    UP TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

TIME (MST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
SKY (%).........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   5
WEATHER COV.....PTY
WEATHER TYPE....BSN
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............-12 -12 -10 -7  -3  0   0   -2  -6
WIND CHILL (F)..-36 -35 -31 -27 -19 -14 -12 -12 -19
SURFACE WND DIR.NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  S
SURFACE WND SPD.14  13  11  10  7   6   5   4   5
SURFACE WND GST.20  20  15  15  10  10  10  5


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 10 BELOW.
COLDEST WIND CHILL..-24.
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

TIME (MST)      5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM
SKY (%).........11  12  8   3   4   4   4   6   9   11  10  10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............-9  -10 -9  -8  -8  -7  -7  -6  -5  -4  -3  -2
WIND CHILL (F)..-24 -23 -24 -23 -24 -23 -24 -24 -22 -22 -21 -20
SURFACE WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
SURFACE WND SPD.6   5   6   6   6   6   7   8   8   9   9   9
SURFACE WND GST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15

$$
FORECASTER...SIMOSKO
REQUESTED BY...GINA CRISTIANO
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 1604213.32/BIS
.EMAIL ROMERO.DAVID@EPA.GOV,CRISTIANO.GINA@EPA.GOV,DHIEUX.JOYEL@EPA.GOV,GUY.KERRY@EPA.GOV



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