Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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534
FNUS73 KBIS 051207
FWSBIS

SPOT FORECAST FOR NATWICK...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
707 AM CDT THU MAY 5 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE REGION WILL BRING VERY WARM TEMPERATURES
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO THE BURN SITE TODAY. A COLD FRONT
WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA EARLY FRIDAY. WINDS WILL SWITCH TO THE NORTH TO
NORTHWEST AND BECOME GUSTY...PARTICULARLY AROUND MID-DAY FRIDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD WITH HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........80 AT IGNITION...MAX 88.
RH..................27 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 17 PERCENT.
WIND................WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 11 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 14
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH AT IGNITION...MAX 6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........1   1   1   1   1   1   3   4   6   9   13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............59  61  64  70  75  80  83  85  87  88  88
RH..............60  57  53  43  34  27  24  20  19  18  17
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..9   9   10  11  11  12  12  14  15  15  14
20 FT WIND GUST.10  15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56.
RH..................MAX 67 PERCENT.
WIND................WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72.
RH..................MIN 28 PERCENT.
WIND................NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH 13 TO 22 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 19 TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ABELING
REQUESTED BY...DOMINICK MARSDEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160505.NATWI.01/BIS



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