Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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000
FNUS73 KBIS 051311
FWSBIS

SPOT FORECAST FOR LARSON...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
811 AM CDT THU MAY 5 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE REGION WILL BRING VERY WARM TEMPERATURES
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND 20 PERCENT TO THE BURN SITE THIS
AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA EARLY FRIDAY. WINDS
WILL SWITCH TO THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST AND BECOME GUSTY...PARTICULARLY
AROUND MID-DAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY ON FRIDAY WILL MODERATE ACROSS THE
AREA...WITH THE LOWEST HUMIDITY 30 TO 35.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........79 AT IGNITION...MAX 83.
RH..................29 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 20 PERCENT.
WIND................WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 15 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH AT IGNITION.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........1   1   1   1   1   2   1   1   1   2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............59  62  67  72  76  79  81  82  83  83
RH..............49  41  35  32  29  29  25  22  21  20
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..14  14  17  17  17  17  17  15  15  14
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55.
RH..................MAX 70 PERCENT.
WIND................SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72.
RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT.
WIND................BREEZY. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO
                    THE NORTH 14 TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ABELING
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS GORDON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160505.LARSO.01/BIS



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