Text Products for FWS Issued by CTP

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA
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000
FNUS71 KCTP 141117
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for REGA Swim Pool Cattails Rx...DCNR Bureau of State Parks
National Weather Service State College PA
717 AM EDT Sun Apr 14 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2000 EDT on April 14.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.

.DISCUSSION...
Breezy and much warmer today. Severe thunderstorms are likely to
develop late this afternoon over the northern Alleghenies and
track southeast through the late evening. Fair and dry weather on
Monday and Tuesday with minRH in the 30-40% range.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and slight chance of thunderstorms early
                    in the evening.
LAL.................16-25 strikes until 2200, then 9-15 strikes
                    until 2300, then No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 52.
Max Humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 20
                    mph shifting to the northwest around 5 mph
                    early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing Height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 25 mph shifting to the northwest 10
                    to 15 mph overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................8 to 21.

TIME (EDT)          8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  84  83  83  82  71  60  49  48  47  47
Weather Cov.......  LKY LKY CHC CHC SCH
Weather Type......  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm Cov..........  CHC CHC SCH
LAL...............  5   5   4   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  66  65  63  62  61  59  58  58  56  55
RH................  58  63  67  72  72  78  77  77  80  80
20 FT Wind Dir....  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
20 FT Wind Spd....  12  12  10  9   8   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT Wind Gust...  19  18  18  16  14  12  11  10  10  10
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5
Transp Wind Dir...  W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  W   NW  NW
Transp Wind Spd...  23  23  22  21  18  14  13  12  13  12
LVORI.............  2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
ADI...............  21  21  21  21  16  16  16  8   8   8
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.MONDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 67.
Min Humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......6600 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 10 to 20 mph shifting to the west 20
                    to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................14 early in the morning increasing to 83 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  46  45  45  40  35  30  26  21  16  15  15  14
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  55  54  54  55  58  60  61  64  65  65  66  66
RH................  80  80  77  74  64  60  53  45  41  40  37  37
20 FT Wind Dir....  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT Wind Spd....  6   6   6   6   7   9   10  10  11  11  11  11
20 FT Wind Gust...  10  10  10  11  13  14  14  14  17  18  17  16
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.5 0.5 0.8 2.1 3.3 4.8 5.4 6.0 6.6 6.5 6.3 6.1
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp Wind Spd...  13  12  12  13  18  21  22  23  24  24  23  23
LVORI.............  4   4   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  14  14  14  62  62  62  83  83  83  81  81  81
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 43.
Max Humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 10 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10
                    mph overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 to 27.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  13  13  12  11  11  10  10  9   8   9   10  11
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  64  62  60  57  55  52  50  48  46  45  44  43
RH................  38  41  44  47  49  52  56  60  65  68  68  70
20 FT Wind Dir....  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT Wind Spd....  10  9   8   8   7   7   6   5   4   3   3   3
20 FT Wind Gust...  14  13  11  10  10  8   7   6   6   5   4   4
Mix Hgt (kft).....  4.3 2.4 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp Wind Spd...  20  17  14  13  13  12  10  8   7   6   6   5
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI...............  27  27  27  9   9   9   7   7   7   3   3   3
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TUESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 66.
Min Humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing Height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............2 in the morning and early afternoon.
ADI.................4 to 32 in the morning and early afternoon.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  12  13  13  17  21  25  29  33  37  41  45  49
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  44  44  45  49  53  57  59  62  64  65  65  66
RH................  70  73  73  63  54  47  44  39  37  37  37  37
20 FT Wind Dir....  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT Wind Spd....  3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT Wind Gust...  4   4   4   5   6   6   7   8   8   8   8   8
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.4 0.4 0.5 1.6 2.7 3.8 4.2 4.6 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.0
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp Wind Spd...  5   5   5   7   9   12  12  10  10  10  9   9
LVORI.............  3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   M   M   M   M
ADI...............  4   4   4   31  31  31  32  32  32  M   M   M
Haines Index......  4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...Steinbugl
Requested by...Shon Robbins
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410549.0/CTP
.DELDT 04/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL shorobbins@pa.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
