Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 221953
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
353 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...A Red Flag Warning is currently in effect until 8pm
tonight. After 8pm, dew points increasing along with decreasing
temperatures overnight will bring RH values up above criteria.
Precipitation tomorrow provides moisture to any fuel, with southwest
winds strengthen and turn gustier. Drier and cooler weather returns
Wednesday and Thursday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-230830-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
353 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 am until 5 am, then rain
                    showers likely. Chance of precipitation 80
                    percent.
Min temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........64-74 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to around 20
                    mph after midnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph increasing to around 25
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (38).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 11 am. Slight chance of rain
                    showers after 2 pm until 5 pm, then rain
                    showers likely and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 60
                    percent.
Max temperature.....60-66.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 20 to 25 mph diminishing to around 15
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6990-7490 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1715).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 pm. Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 am. Chance of precipitation 50
                    percent.
Min temperature.....30-35.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........75-85 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West around 15 mph becoming north after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph becoming north in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (70).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....40-46.
   24 hr trend......18 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........28-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 15 to 20 mph becoming northeast around 10
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3680-4180 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (641).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-230830-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
353 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 am until 5 am, then rain
                    showers likely. Chance of precipitation 80
                    percent.
Min temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........63-73 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to around 20
                    mph after midnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (44).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 11 am. Slight chance of rain
                    showers after 11 am until 5 pm, then rain
                    showers likely and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 60
                    percent.
Max temperature.....60-66.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........42-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4960-5460 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1323).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 pm. Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 am. Chance of precipitation 50
                    percent.
Min temperature.....Around 31.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........77-87 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West around 15 mph becoming north after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......710-910 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph becoming north after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (58).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....38-42.
   24 hr trend......25 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 20 to 25 mph diminishing to around 15 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3260-3760 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 20 to 25 mph decreasing to around 15 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (642).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-230830-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
353 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2 am, then
                    cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers after 2 am until 5 am, then chance of
                    showers. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Min temperature.....44-50.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........60-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......980-1180 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (44).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 5 pm, then showers likely
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....58-64.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......25 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 20 to 25 mph diminishing to around 15
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2860-3360 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (789).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 am. Chance of precipitation 40
                    percent.
Min temperature.....32-38.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........81-91 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph becoming north after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph becoming north after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (60).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....44-48.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........29-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 15 to 20 mph diminishing to around 10 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4220-4720 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (639).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
50s. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Areas of frost after midnight. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs
in the mid 70s. South winds around 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs around 70.

$$

BC
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