Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FXUS63 KFGF 282135
AFDFGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
335 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 323 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

LOW PRESSURE JUST WEST OF KENORA AT MID AFTERNOON MOVING EAST.
WINDS HAVE TURNED NORTHWEST OVER ERN ND AND DOING SO CURRENTLY IN
THE RRV AND WILL DO SO IN THE REST OF NW/WCNTRL MN EARLY THIS EVE.
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE LOOKS TO REMAIN IN PLACE TONIGHT WITH BUFKIT
SOUNDINGS SHOWING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME PATCHY FREEZING
DRIZZLE/FLURRIES IF ANY PRECIP FALLS. IT WILL GET BREEZY-WINDY AS
WELL. THURSDAY CLOUD COVER IS A TOUGH CALL. HIGH PRESSURE AND
DRIER COLDER AIRMASS MOVING IN SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME
CLEARING...BUT HAVE BEEN FOOLED BEFORE. HIGH CLOUDS INCREASING THU
NIGHT AHD OF NEXT SYSTEM BUT LIGHT WINDS IN THU EVE SHOULD ALLOW
FOR A GOOD TEMP DROP ESP NW MN.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 323 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

NEXT SYSTEM TO MOVE EAST-SOUTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA FRIDAY
WITH WARMER AIR AND SOUTH WINDS FRIDAY. STILL SLIGHT RISK OF A
LITTLE LIGHT SNOW LAKE OF THE WOODS REGION FRI AFTN-EVE. A FRESH
SUPPLY OF COLD AIR WILL DROP SOUTH BEHIND THE FRI SYSTEM ON
SATURDAY AS WINTER LIKE TEMPERATURES RETURN. A LOW RISK OF LIGHT
SNOW EXISTS FOR AREAS ALONG THE SOUTH DAKOTA SATURDAY AS AN UPPER
SYSTEM DROPS SOUTHEAST ON THE LEADING EDGE OF THE COLD FRONT.
CANADIAN GEM MODEL OVERDONE WITH PRECIP AND STRENGTH OF SYSTEM AND
DISCOUNTED FOR NOW.

SATURDAY NIGHT-WEDNESDAY...NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THE GENERAL WEATHER
PATTERN...EXCEPT THAT THIS REGION WILL BE ON THE COLDER SIDE OF THE
BAROCLINIC ZONE. ANTICIPATE FAST MOVING WEAK SHORTWAVES THAT COULD
PROVIDE -SN CHANCES...ALTHOUGH MOST PERIODS SHOULD BE DRY WITH SFC
RIDGING OVERHEAD. THIS WILL LEAD TO TEMPERATURE VALUES NEAR OR EVEN
SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL VALUES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1258 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

WILL MAINTAIN LIFR/IFR CONDITIONS THROUGH MUCH OF THIS TAF PERIOD.
THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE FOR DRIZZLE/FREEZING DRIZZLE...BUT WILL WAIT
FOR MORE CONFIDENCE BEFORE INTRODUCING THIS PARAMETER TO THE
AVIATION FORECAST. THE PROBABILITY FOR IMPROVEMENT WILL EXIST
TONIGHT OR THURSDAY MORNING...BUT CONFIDENCE WITH THESE IMPROVEMENT
DETAILS IS LOW. COLD FRONT WILL SWITCH WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING...GUSTY AT TIMES.


&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RIDDLE
LONG TERM...TG/RIDDLE
AVIATION...RIDDLE







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