Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
725
FNUS53 KGRR 081859
FWFGRR
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
259 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024
...Rain Thursday...
.DISCUSSION...Low pressure moving across the Ohio Valley will
produce light rain across the region...heaviest south of I-96. QPF
should range from around 0.03 inches near US-10 to around a half
inch near I-94. Much cooler temperatures are also expected through
the end of the week.
MIZ037>039-043>045-090815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
259 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 5 AM, then
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers after 1 AM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....42-47.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 2200-2700
ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....140-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....58-63.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
4700-5200 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....860-880 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.25 in.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 11 PM, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....38-43.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 300-800 ft AGL.
Mixing height.......Inland, 2400-2900 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600
ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70-270 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....58-63.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........45-50 percent near Lake Michigan and 35-40
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......
24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
24 hr trend......
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
5800-6300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....710 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ040-046-090815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
259 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers after 4 AM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....42-47.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL decreasing to 400-900 ft AGL
overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....120-420 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 7 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....860-970 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.14 in.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 11 PM, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....37-42.
24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL
overnight.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 63.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........34-39 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......6900-7400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....680-840 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-090815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
259 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2 AM, then
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 1 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....110-150 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
until 9 AM, then rain showers likely until 1
PM, then a chance of rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....58-63.
24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....750-810 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.16-0.48 in.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 11 PM, then partly
cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....42-47.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-150 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....57-62.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
5700-6200 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....730-780 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-090815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
259 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 5 AM, then
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL decreasing to 700-1200 ft AGL
overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....180-230 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....770-840 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.13-0.42 in.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 11 PM, then
partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 43.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-150 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 63.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......6500-7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....750-770 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-090815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
259 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 11 PM, then
partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2 AM, then
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....47-52.
24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....150-190 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
until 9 AM, then rain showers likely until 5
PM, then a chance of rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
24 hr trend......19 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
24 hr trend......28 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....540-570 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.30-0.50 in.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 2 AM, then
partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....90-270 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 63.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......6300-6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....830-840 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 60.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. West winds
6 to 11 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around
50. Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower
70s. Southwest winds 12 to 17 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers overnight. Lows in
the mid 50s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
70s.
$$