Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 281236
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
836 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Rain will taper off later today. High pressure will bring dry and
cool weather tonight with a return of seasonable temperatures on
Friday. A warming trend is expected this weekend as the high moves
offshore. The next chance of rain will accompany a cold front
late Tuesday into Wednesday.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-290445-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
836 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 100 0 0
Precip Type Showers None None
LAL 3 1 1
Max/Min Temp 58 38 69
Min/Max RH (%) 80 89 35
Wind20ft/Early (mph) N 10 G23 NW 8 G20 NW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 13 G25 NW 6 G17 W 10 G20
Precip Amount 0.65 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 9
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 56/0600 1900 46/0900
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 2 5 5
DSI 1 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2500 8100
Transport Wind (mph) N 24 NW 28
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 60000 226800
ADI Early 40 Fair 33 Fair 82 Good
ADI Late 52 Gen Good 8 Poor 127 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 3
Max LVORI Late 4 4 1
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability D E B
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
69 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
74 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 60. Maximum RH 84 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-290445-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
836 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 100 0 0
Precip Type Showers None None
LAL 3 1 1
Max/Min Temp 58 38 70
Min/Max RH (%) 72 88 33
Wind20ft/Early (mph) N 11 G21 NW 6 G17 W 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 13 G23 NW 5 W 10 G21
Precip Amount 0.52 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 8
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 57/1400 1900 51/1000
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 5 5
DSI 1 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2400 7600
Transport Wind (mph) N 23 W 28
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 55200 212800
ADI Early 38 Fair 41 Gen Good 70 Good
ADI Late 48 Gen Good 8 Poor 126 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 4
Max LVORI Late 4 4 1
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability D E B
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
74 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 83 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-290445-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
836 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 100 0 0
Precip Type Showers None None
LAL 3 1 1
Max/Min Temp 61 39 68
Min/Max RH (%) 74 87 34
Wind20ft/Early (mph) N 10 G22 NW 6 G19 NW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 12 G22 NW 5 W 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.42 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 7
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 4 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 60/0300 1900 52/1000
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 5 5
DSI 1 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2800 6900
Transport Wind (mph) N 23 W 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 64400 158700
ADI Early 40 Fair 45 Gen Good 66 Good
ADI Late 51 Gen Good 8 Poor 107 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 3
Max LVORI Late 4 4 1
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability D E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
71 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 82 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-290445-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
836 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 90 0 0
Precip Type Showers None None
LAL 3 1 1
Max/Min Temp 62 38 70
Min/Max RH (%) 60 82 32
Wind20ft/Early (mph) N 10 G21 NW 5 W 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 12 G22 NW 5 W 9 G19
Precip Amount 0.22 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 5
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 2 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) None 1900 52/1000
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 5 5
DSI 1 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2800 7400
Transport Wind (mph) N 22 W 24
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61600 177600
ADI Early 40 Fair 42 Gen Good 57 Gen Good
ADI Late 51 Gen Good 8 Poor 117 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 4
Max LVORI Late 4 3 1
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability D E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 82 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$