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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 230719
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
319 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will move overhead this morning, then offshore this
afternoon. The next cold front should arrive Wednesday night.
High pressure will build in from the north Thursday through
Saturday. Temperatures should begin to warm early next week as
winds turn southerly.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-232330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
319 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 72 48 79
Min/Max RH (%) 27 89 38
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 SW 8 G19
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 6 SW 10 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 58/1000 1900 61/0900
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 5 5 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 6500
Transport Wind (mph) W 9 W 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54900 136500
ADI Early 47 Gen Good 48 Gen Good 93 Good
ADI Late 58 Gen Good 7 Poor 109 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 9 3 4
Max LVORI Late 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A E B
Remarks...The seabreeze should develop at the beaches around 1 PM,
moving 2-4 miles inland by 3 PM, and 10-15 miles inland by 5 PM.
Southerly winds, cooler temperatures, and higher humidity is
expected within the seabreeze zone.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-232330-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
319 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 72 48 79
Min/Max RH (%) 27 89 38
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 SW 8 G18
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 7 G17 W 8 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 57/1000 1900 59/0900
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 5 5 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 6100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 W 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 76700 122000
ADI Early 31 Fair 71 Good 91 Good
ADI Late 80 Good 13 Gen Poor 128 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 9 3 4
Max LVORI Late 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-232330-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
319 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 71 47 80
Min/Max RH (%) 27 93 39
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 SW 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 5 SW 5 SW 8 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 58/1000 2000 60/0900
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 5 5 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6000 6200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 W 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 60000 124000
ADI Early 37 Fair 55 Gen Good 107 Very Good
ADI Late 64 Good 7 Poor 127 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 9 3 5
Max LVORI Late 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A E B
Remarks...The seabreeze should develop at the beaches around 1 PM,
moving 3-5 miles inland by 3 PM, and 10-15 miles inland by 5 PM.
Southerly winds, cooler temperatures, and higher humidity is
expected within the seabreeze zone.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-232330-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
319 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 72 48 79
Min/Max RH (%) 27 93 40
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 SW 8 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 6 W 8 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 57/1000 2000 59/0900
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 5 5 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 6000
Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 W 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 73200 120000
ADI Early 26 Fair 84 Good 85 Good
ADI Late 85 Good 12 Poor 107 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 9 3 5
Max LVORI Late 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 4 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...TRA
- National Weather Service
- Bismarck, ND Weather Forecast Office
- 2301 University Drive, Building 27
- Bismarck, ND 58504
- 701-250-4224
- Page Author: BIS Webmaster
- Web Master's E-mail: w-bis.webmaster@noaa.gov
- Page last modified: Sep 19th, 2023 19:10 UTC