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000
FNUS74 KMOB 142042
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for GUIS Naval Live Oaks...National Park Service
National Weather Service Mobile AL
342 PM CDT Sun Apr 14 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on April 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.


.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions are expected Monday and Tuesday with
relative humidity values around 55 to 60 percent the next two
days. Winds will be light around 10 mph out of the south Monday
becoming southeasterly Tuesday around 15 mph. Transport winds will
be around 15 to 20 mph out of the south both days. Afternoon
dispersions values Monday will be fair with an LDSI around 30
increasing to around 35 on Tuesday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected over the
burn site; however, fog may develop inland reducing visibilities
north of the burn site.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 6 to 12 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...183-335 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 2 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 28.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25  26  33  26  21  17  13  18  16  14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............66  68  71  73  75  75  75  75  75  73
RH..............90  87  76  73  69  69  69  71  71  76
20 FT wind dir..SSE SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE
20 FT wind spd..2   5   7   9   10  12  12  12  13  12
20 FT wind gust.5   6   9   10  12  13  14  13  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.0
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SSE SSE SSE S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.5   5   7   8   10  12  12  12  13  12
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   SSE SSE SSE S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).2   2   3   4   4   5   5   5   6   5
Dispersion idx..5   6   12  16  21  25  27  28  28  28
LVORI...........6   5   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-305 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....28 decreasing to 7.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........14  24  26  16  20  31  41  52  53  53  54  54
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............73  70  70  68  68  68  68  68  68  67  67  66
RH..............76  84  84  90  90  90  90  90  90  90  90  93
20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..10  8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.    10  10  10  9   9   10  10  9   9   8   9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSE SSE SSE
Transp wind spd.10  12  10  12  12  12  13  13  12  10  9   8
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSE SSE SSE
Trans spd (m/s).4   5   4   5   5   5   6   6   5   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..28  6   5   5   5   5   7   8   8   7   7   6
LVORI...........3   4   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   7   7

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-305 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 16 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 4 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 32.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........55  55  54  53  52  52  51  51  50  50  49  55
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............66  66  67  69  70  72  73  74  75  75  74  73
RH..............93  93  90  84  81  76  73  71  69  71  74  76
20 FT wind dir..ESE ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..7   8   10  13  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  13
20 FT wind gust.9   10  12  14  15  16  16  17  17  17  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE
Transp wind spd.8   9   10  13  15  16  16  16  16  15  15  15
Trans wind dir..ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Dispersion idx..6   8   10  16  25  29  34  34  34  32  29  29
LVORI...........7   6   5   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   3

$$
Forecaster...3
Requested by...National Park Service
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410621.1/MOB
.DELDT 04/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL robert_vick@nps.gov