Text Products for FWS Issued by OKX

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6

000
FNUS71 KOKX 230932
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for South of Currans Woodlands 5th Block RX...NYS DEC
National Weather Service New York NY
532 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

631-924-0383

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure over the area will weaken this afternoon and
tonight as an ocean storm passes to the southeast, and as a
frontal system approaches from the west. The associated warm
front will move through Wednesday morning, followed by a
trailing cold front Wednesday afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........47 at ignition...Max 61.
RH..................69 percent at ignition...Min 29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 3 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds becoming south 5 to 9 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /2400 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /43900 knot-ft/.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   1   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............47  54  57  59  61  61  61  60  59  57
RH..............69  49  40  36  31  30  29  29  29  32
20 FT wind dir..190 190 190 180 180 180 180 180 190 190
20 FT wind spd..3   4   5   6   7   8   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.5   6   6   8   10  11  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 1.8 3.5 4.9 5.5 5.6 5.3 4.7 3.8 2.9
Transp wind dir.190 190 190 180 180 190 190 190 200 200
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   8   9   10  12  14  15  16
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   17  31  39  42  44  44  43  42  39
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Min 42.
RH..................Max 76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (35100 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2000 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........1   2   3   4   5   6   13  20  26  37  47  58
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............54  52  49  47  46  45  44  44  43  42  42  43
RH..............37  43  52  57  60  63  66  67  70  76  76  76
20 FT wind dir..190 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 190 190 180 180
20 FT wind spd..8   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   7   8
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  11  11  11  11  10  10  10  12  14
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.190 180 180 180 180 180 180 190 190 190 180 180
Transp wind spd.16  16  15  14  13  12  12  12  14  16  18  20
Vrate kt-ft/1K..35  28  20  12  7   4   2   2   4   8   13  18
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning, then chance
                    of rain showers through early afternoon. Slight
                    chance of rain showers late in the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent increasing to 40 percent early, then
                    decreasing to 30 percent early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 20 percent late in the afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Max 63.
RH..................Min 36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 10 mph with gusts to
                    around 17 mph shifting to the west around 17
                    mph with gusts to around 24 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 21 to 28 mph shifting to the west 30
                    to 33 mph early.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (15100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (100000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (138800
                    knot-ft) in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........69  80  91  89  86  84  77  71  65  61  56  52
Weather cov.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20  20  40  40  40  40  30  30  20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............45  48  51  54  57  60  61  62  62  63  63  62
RH..............76  74  68  66  59  55  51  48  46  41  38  38
20 FT wind dir..190 200 200 210 230 230 240 260 270 280 290 290
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   9   10  12  13  15  16  17  17
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  14  16  17  18  20  22  23  23  24
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.5 1.0 1.9 2.9 3.9 4.4 4.7 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.6
Transp wind dir.190 200 210 220 240 250 250 260 270 280 290 300
Transp wind spd.21  21  22  24  28  31  31  30  30  31  32  33
Vrate kt-ft/1K..17  15  17  25  41  65  100 139 169 181 177 163
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  VGD VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL

$$
Forecaster...BG
Requested by...Bryan Gallagher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411857.0/OKX
.DELDT 04/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bryan.gallagher@dec.ny.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
