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000
FNUS72 KTBW 160948
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for Terra Ceia Preserve SP TC-26,27 Rx Fire...Florida Park Service
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
548 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Warm and dry for the next few days as high pressure
continues across the area. Humidities are not expected to fall below
critical levels this afternoon, but will be close in the upper 30
percent range. Easterly flow will be in place today, with a very
weak sea breeze late in the afternoon and early evening. Winds return
to the east overnight, and the sea breeze will be a little stronger
and earlier for Wednesday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8 to 10 mph shifting to the west
                    around 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 9 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....14 increasing to 39 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 53 late in the morning decreasing
                    to 42 early in the afternoon decreasing to 23.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........15     4      2      1      1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1
Temp............62     74     80     85     89
RH..............93     61     49     42     37
20 ft wind......E 8    E 10   E 10   E 10   S 9
20 ft wind gust.12     13     13     14     13
Mix hgt (ft)....400    2100   3100   2700   1900
Transport wind..E 10   E 15   E 15   E 14   SE 10
Dispersion idx..11     39     57     46     25
LVORI...........5      1      1      1      2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........99 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 6 to 7 mph late in the evening, then
                    shifting to the east 7 to 8 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 9 mph shifting to the west 7 to 8
                    mph early in the evening, then shifting to the
                    east 7 to 13 mph in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Dispersion index....13 decreasing to 6 early in the evening.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........2      9      17     23     29     21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............83     76     74     71     69     66
RH..............47     61     65     71     79     86
20 ft wind......W 8    NW 6   NE 6   E 7    E 7    E 8
20 ft wind gust.10     9      9      10     10     12
Mix hgt (ft)....1300   500    400    400    500    400
Transport wind..S 9    W 7    E 7    E 9    E 12   E 12
Dispersion idx..16     3      3      4      5      8
LVORI...........2      3      3      3      4      5

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 9 mph shifting to the
                    southwest early in the afternoon, then shifting
                    to the west 9 to 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 15 mph shifting to the west late
                    in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....11 increasing to 23 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 38 in the late morning and early
                    afternoon decreasing to 26 late in the
                    afternoon decreasing to 16.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........16     21     17     7      12     14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............64     67     76     82     85     89
RH..............94     86     65     54     48     43
20 ft wind......E 8    E 8    SE 9   SE 9   SW 8   W 9
20 ft wind gust.13     13     13     10     10     12
Mix hgt (ft)....500    500    2000   3300   2900   1800
Transport wind..E 13   E 14   E 15   E 10   S 9    SW 10
Dispersion idx..8      14     38     41     34     24
LVORI...........6      4      3      1      1      2

$$
Forecaster...Hubbard
Requested by...Kate Smithson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411010.0/TBW
.DELDT 04/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kathryn.smithson@floridaDEP.gov