Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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000
FXUS63 KUNR 191700
AFDUNR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1100 AM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 201 AM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE
UPPER RIDGE...PUSHING SOME CLOUDS THROUGH THE DAKOTAS. AXIS OF
SURFACE TROUGH IS CURRENTLY THROUGH WESTERN SD. WINDS ARE EITHER
CALM OR LIGHT AND SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST. TEMPS ARE MAINLY IN
THE 40S.

UPPER RIDGE AMPLIFIES OVER THE ROCKIES TODAY...SHIFTING OVER THE
NORTHERN PLAINS BY MONDAY. MEANWHILE THE SURFACE HIGH SLIDES INTO
THE REGION TODAY...AND SKIES WILL BE SUNNY WITH TEMPS IN THE LOW
70S...60S IN THE BLACK HILLS. RETURN FLOW SETS UP AGAIN MONDAY AS
HIGH MOVES EAST OF THE CWA...CREATING SOMEWHAT BREEZY SOUTHERLY
WINDS AND ADVECTING IN MORE WARM AIR. HIGHS MONDAY WILL BE IN THE
70S UNDER CLEAR SKIES. LOWS BOTH NIGHTS WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 40S.


&&

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
ISSUED AT 201 AM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA ON
TUESDAY. BL-850MB TEMPERATURES SUPPORT HIGHS NEAR 80...ESPECIALLY
EAST OF THE BLACK HILLS. UPPER TROF SLIDES THROUGH THE PLAINS
WEDNESDAY...WITH A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS. RIDGE REBUILDS ACROSS
THE AREA FOR THE END OF THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE
AVERAGE THROUGH THE WEEK. WITH CLOUDS/SHOWERS...WEDNESDAY WILL BE
THE COOLEST DAY OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1100 AM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...POJORLIE
LONG TERM...7
AVIATION...JOHNSON





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