Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 050740
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
240 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...

THE LATEST DATA INDICATES THE AREA WITH THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR
STORMS WILL BE DOWN OVER THE ARKLATEX...WHERE BETTER DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE EXISTS. WILL CARRY HIGHER POPS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OK AND
WESTERN AR FOR TODAY. COVERAGE SHOULD DECREASE QUICKLY AFTER
SUNSET THIS EVENING. EXPECT A RATHER QUIET DAY ON MONDAY AHEAD OF
THE NEXT SYSTEM.

BY MONDAY NIGHT...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN ASSOCIATION WITH A STRONG
SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL PUSH SOUTHEAST INTO
THE REGION. RAIN/STORM CHANCES WILL RAMP UP QUICKLY...WITH THE
BEST CHANCES ON TUESDAY. THE BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO STALL OVER
OUR AREA...BRINGING CONTINUED RAIN/STORM CHANCES THRU WEDNESDAY.

RISING MID LEVEL HEIGHTS WILL PUT AN END TO RAIN CHANCES FOR THE
LATTER PART OF THE WEEK GOING INTO NEXT WEEKEND. IT DOES NOT LOOK
LIKE THE RIDGE WILL BE PARKED OVERHEAD FOR LONG HOWEVER...AS IT IS
FORECAST TO RETROGRADE BACK TO THE WEST IN A MORE AMPLIFIED
PATTERN IN WEEK 2.

LACY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   92  77  92  75 /  20  10  10  70
FSM   92  73  91  74 /  30  20  10  20
MLC   90  75  90  75 /  20  10  10  20
BVO   92  73  90  72 /  30  10  20  80
FYV   86  69  86  72 /  30  10  10  30
BYV   87  70  87  72 /  30  10  10  40
MKO   89  73  89  74 /  20  10  10  30
MIO   91  73  89  72 /  20  10  10  70
F10   90  75  89  74 /  20  10  10  40
HHW   90  74  91  75 /  40  20  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....30


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