National Weather Service Text Product Display

Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Versions: 1
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FGUS71 KILN 211840
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INC029-041-047-115-137-155-161-177-KYC015-023-037-041-077-081-117-
135-161-187-191-201-OHC001-011-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-041-
045-047-049-057-061-065-071-073-089-091-097-107-109-113-129-131-
135-141-145-149-159-165-041845-

WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
240 PM EDT THU MAR 21 2013

...WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK...

...FLOOD POTENTIAL THROUGH APRIL 4 WILL BE BELOW NORMAL TO
NEAR NORMAL...

THIS OUTLOOK IS THE SIXTH IN A BIWEEKLY SERIES OF OUTLOOKS FOR
THE WINTER AND EARLY SPRING.

NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL MEANS AT LEAST SOME FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.
ABOVE NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL MEANS AT LEAST A CHANCE OF MORE
WIDESPREAD FLOODING WITH SOME POINTS POSSIBLY REACHING MODERATE
OR MAJOR FLOOD LEVELS.

THE FLOOD OUTLOOK IS ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES IN WINTER AND
EARLY SPRING TO SUMMARIZE BASIN CONDITIONS AND TO ASSESS THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. THE OUTLOOKS ARE BASED ON CURRENT AND
FORECAST HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS.

THE FACTORS CONSIDERED WHEN DETERMINING FLOOD POTENTIAL INCLUDE
CURRENT STREAMFLOW AND RESERVOIR LEVELS COMPARED TO NORMAL FOR
THE PERIOD...WATER EQUIVALENT IN ANY SNOW PACK...SOIL MOISTURE
AND EXPECTED PRECIPITATION.

...SNOW COVER AND SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT...
WHILE CURRENTLY ONLY TRACE AMOUNTS OF SNOW EXIST...THERE IS
POTENTIAL FOR SOME SNOW DURING THE EARLY DAYS OF THE OUTLOOK
PERIOD. THIS MAY CREATE AN INCREASE IN FLOOD RISK THROUGH THIS TWO
WEEK PERIOD...THOUGH AT TIME OF THIS ISSUANCE...THERE IS NO
FORSEEABLE THREAT FOR RAPID WARMUP NOR A SIGNIFICANT RAIN ON
SNOW EVENT.

...STREAMFLOW...
STREAMFLOW VALUES WERE NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE REGION COMPARED TO
NORMAL FLOW FOR MID MARCH PER US GEOLOGICAL SURVEY STREAM FLOW
STATISTICS.

...ICE...
NO ICE COVER EXISTS ON AREA RIVERS.

...SOIL MOISTURE...
SOIL MOISTURE WAS CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR MID MARCH.

...RESERVOIR CAPACITY...
AREA RESERVOIRS ARE NEAR WINTER POOL...OPTIMIZING FLOOD CONTROL
CAPACITY.

...WEATHER TRENDS AND PRECIPITATION...
WHILE SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE DURING THE FIRST WEEK OF THE OUTLOOK
PERIOD...THERE IS NO FORSEEABLE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN THE FIRST
WEEK OF THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.

THE 8-14 DAY OUTLOOK FOR WEEK TWO OF THE OUTLOOK PERIOD IS FOR
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

REAL TIME RIVER INFORMATION AND FORECASTS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
ALONG RIVERS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OHIO...NORTHERN KENTUCKY
AND SOUTHEAST INDIANA CAN BE FOUND AT (ALL IN LOWERCASE):
WEATHER.GOV/ILN/ AND THEN CLICK ON THE RIVERS AND LAKES TAB.

LOOKING AHEAD INTO APRIL...IF A THREAT FOR FLOODING IS REALIZED...A
FLOOD OUTLOOK PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED ON THURSDAY APRIL 4TH.



$$
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
