Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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FGUS71 KRLX 171411
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WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1011 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014

KYC019-043-089-127-OHC009-053-079-087-105-115-127-163-167-VAC027-
051-WVC001-005-007-011-013-015-017-019-021-033-035-039-041-043-
045-047-053-059-067-073-075-079-081-083-085-087-091-095-097-099-
101-105-107-109-180215-
1011 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014

...THE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO BE NORMAL...

THE FLOOD POTENTIAL FOR THE NEXT TWO WEEKS WILL BE CONSIDERED NORMAL
FOR THE STREAMS IN THE CHARLESTON HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA (HSA). A
NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL GENERALLY MEANS MINOR FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE. THIS AREA INCLUDES EASTERN KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST
OHIO...BUCHANAN AND DICKENSON COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND
MUCH OF WEST VIRGINIA.

FOR THE LONG RANGE RIVER OUTLOOKS AND THE PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDING
FLOOD STAGE OR THE CHANCES OF FLOODING RELATIVE TO NORMAL AT
SPECIFIC FORECAST POINTS DURING THE NEXT 90 DAYS...REFER TO
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/OHRFC AND CLICK ON THE 90 DAY RIVER OUTLOOK IN THE
LEFT HAND COLUMN. CLICK ON FLOOD CHANCE VS NORMAL TO SEE THE RISK OF
FLOODING WITH RESPECT TO NORMAL.

FLOOD OUTLOOKS ARE ISSUED BIWEEKLY BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN THE WINTER AND EARLY SPRING TO SUMMARIZE BASIN HYDRO
METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS AND TO ASSESS THE POTENTIAL FOR SPRING
FLOODING. THE OUTLOOKS ARE BASED ON CURRENT AND EXPECTED
CONDITIONS...REALIZING THAT ACTUAL CONDITIONS MAY CHANGE DURING
THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.


PRECIPITATION...
PRECIPITATION HAS AVERAGED BELOW TO NEAR NORMAL.


SOIL CONDITIONS...
SOIL MOISTURE IS NORMAL ACROSS THE REGION...EXCEPT FOR THE UPPER
TYGART VALLEY...SANDY AND KANAWHA BASINS WHERE IT IS SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL.


SNOW COVER AND SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT...
NONE.


RESERVOIR CAPACITY...
RESERVOIR LEVELS ARE AT OR NEAR NORMAL POOL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.


RIVER ICE CONDITIONS...
NONE.


STREAM FLOWS...
STREAM FLOWS ARE SLIGHTLY BELOW TO NORMAL ACROSS THE HSA.


THE HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK...
THE OUTLOOK FOR THE REMAINDER OF APRIL CALLS FOR A MORE ACTIVE
WEATHER PATTERN. WITH THE SUBTROPICAL JET STREAM LIFTING
NORTHWARD. STORM SYSTEMS ARE FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO
VALLEY LEADING TO NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL.

RAINFALL IS THE PRIMARY FACTOR LEADING TO FLOODING. HEAVY OR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL CAN CAUSE FLOODING ANY TIME OF THE YEAR...EVEN
WHERE THE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS BELOW NORMAL.


$$








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