Extended Streamflow Guidance
Issued by NWS

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FGUS65 KSTR 111628
ESGNM
TTAA00 KSLR DDHHMM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
COLORADO BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER
SALT LAKE CITY UT
Apr 11, 2016

 SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK

The 2016 spring runoff flood potential due to snowmelt runoff in the San
Juan Basin is unlikely at this time. February and March
were both very dry and also warm. Snow melt has been occurring throughout
the last several weeks and snowpack conditions are generally below
normal for early April.

The latest snowmelt peak flow forecasts in the San Juan are all
below the historical average peak flows.

While flooding to solely to snowmelt is not likely at this time,
flood related problems can result in any year if heavy rainfall
occurs during the melt period when channel capacities have been
reduced.

Further assessment will be made regarding any snow melt flood threat as
the season progresses.

The latest peak flow forecasts for sites in the San Juan
Basin can be found on the CBRFC web site:

http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/rmap/peak/peaklist.php


G. Smith/ CBRFC

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