Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Fairbanks, AK

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FNAK53 PAFG 292250
FWFAFG

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR INTERIOR ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
250 PM AKDT FRI JUL 29 2016

.DISCUSSION...MINIMAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WITH EXPECTED WIDESPREAD
WETTING RAINS OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST TO CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
INTERIOR...INCLUDING THE MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY AND THE WESTERN ALASKA
RANGE...THROUGH SUNDAY. ESSENTIALLY ALL BUT THE EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN
SECTIONS WILL HAVE WETTING OR NEARLY WETTING RAINS.

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE SOUTH CHUKCHI SEA THROUGH THE
BERING STRAIT TO WEST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST.
THE TROUGH AXIS WILL EXTEND FROM THE CENTRAL BROOKS RANGE TO UNALAKLEET
TO WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND SATURDAY AFTERNOON. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL
DEVELOP ON THE SOUTHERN END OF THE TROUGH AND BE JUST NORTH OF BRISTOL
BAY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

WETTING RAINS WILL BE AHEAD OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS. FOR TONIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT THE WETTING RAINS WILL BE OVER MUCH OF THE
INTERIOR...EXCEPT OR THE SOUTHEAST AND FAR EAST INTERIOR. AS THE TROUGH
WEAKENS ON SUNDAY...THE RAINS WILL TURNS TO MAINLY NON-WETTING SHOWERS.

A SURFACE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS
FROM WEST OF BARTER ISLAND ACROSS THE CENTRAL BROOKS RANGE TO NORTH OF
UNALAKLEET AND WEST TO BETWEEN GAMBELL AND SAVOONGA. THE FRONT WILL
MOVE SLOWLY EAST AND SOUTH THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AT 4AM AKDT SUNDAY THE
FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM MACKENZIE BAY TO SOUTH OF BETTLES TO ANVIK AND
SOUTH TO BRISTOL BAY. MOST OF THE INTERIOR WILL REMAIN TO THE SOUTH AND
EAST OF THE FRONT WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS MAINLY 7 TO 15 MPH WITH SOME
GUSTS TO 25 MPH CONTINUING BUT WEAKENING SLOWLY LATER IN THE WEEKEND
UNTIL THE FRONT DISSIPATES ON SUNDAY.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...A DRY PATTERN IS EXPECTED MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
LATEST MODELS SHOW AN INCREASED POSSIBILITY OF SHOWERS WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY.

AKZ218-301700-
SOUTHEASTERN BROOKS RANGE-
INCLUDING...ARCTIC VILLAGE...WISEMAN...COLDFOOT...
CHANDALAR D.O.T. CAMP...INIAKUK LAKE
250 PM AKDT FRI JUL 29 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP         70           70           60           60
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-44 (-2)   49-59 (-2)   34-44        58-68
RH % (24H TREND)      69-84 (+6)   ABV 40 (+13) 77-92        38-53
20FTWND(MPH)          SW 8-12 G24  SW 3-7       SW 5-9       LGT/VAR
CWR                   30           30           20           10
LAL                   1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 27 TO 37. HIGHS
59 TO 69. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
35 TO 45. HIGHS 61 TO 71. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 32 TO 42.
HIGHS 63 TO 73. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.

$$

AKZ219-301700-
UPPER KOYUKUK VALLEY-
INCLUDING...ALLAKAKET...HUGHES...BETTLES...CARIBOU MOUNTAIN...
GOBBLERS KNOB
250 PM AKDT FRI JUL 29 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP         90           90           70           30
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-48 (+1)   50-60 (0)    36-46        58-68
RH % (24H TREND)      74-89 (+1)   ABV 40 (+15) 74-89        38-53
20FTWND(MPH)          SW 5-9 G20   W 5-9 G15    N 3-7        N 3-7
CWR                   40           50           30           0
LAL                   1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 30 TO 40. HIGHS 59 TO 69. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
37 TO 47. HIGHS 60 TO 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
34 TO 44. HIGHS 64 TO 74. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.

$$

AKZ220-301700-
YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING UPLANDS-
INCLUDING...FORT YUKON...VENETIE...CENTRAL...CIRCLE...
STEVENS VILLAGE...BEAVER...CHALKYITSIK...BIRCH CREEK...
CIRCLE HOT SPRINGS...EAGLE SUMMIT...TWELVEMILE SUMMIT
250 PM AKDT FRI JUL 29 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP         80           80           80           70
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-49 (+1)   51-61 (-2)   37-47        59-69
RH % (24H TREND)      79-94 (0)    ABV 40 (+10) 81-96        ABV 40
20FTWND(MPH)          SW 7-11 G20  SW 6-10 G20  SW 7-11 G20  W 4-8
CWR                   60           60           40           20
LAL                   1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 33 TO 43. HIGHS
63 TO 73. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 38 TO 48. HIGHS 67 TO 77.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
36 TO 46. HIGHS 68 TO 78. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.

$$

AKZ221-301700-
CENTRAL INTERIOR-
INCLUDING...NENANA...ANDERSON...TANANA...MINTO...
MANLEY HOT SPRINGS...RAMPART...LAKE MINCHUMINA...LIVENGOOD
250 PM AKDT FRI JUL 29 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP         100          100          100          70
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-54 (+1)   51-61 (0)    42-52        59-69
RH % (24H TREND)      80-95 (+3)   ABV 40 (0)   90-100       ABV 40
20FTWND(MPH)          SW 8-12 G23  SW 7-11 G20  SW 6-10 G17  W 3-7
CWR                   80           80           80           20
LAL                   1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 36 TO 46. HIGHS
61 TO 71. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 40 TO
50. HIGHS 64 TO 74. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 38 TO
48. HIGHS 64 TO 74. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.

$$

AKZ222-301700-
MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...FAIRBANKS...FORT WAINWRIGHT...EIELSON AFB...ESTER...
NORTH POLE...MOOSE CREEK...TWO RIVERS...FOX...CHATANIKA...
CHENA HOT SPRINGS...SOURDOUGH CAMP
250 PM AKDT FRI JUL 29 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP         100          100          80           80
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-56 (+3)   51-61 (-1)   42-52        58-68
RH % (24H TREND)      100 (+4)     ABV 40 (+5)  92-100       ABV 40
20FTWND(MPH)          SW 10-15 G25 SW 6-10 G19  SW 5-9 G17   SW 4-8
CWR                   80           30           20           20
LAL                   1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 37 TO 47.
HIGHS 64 TO 74. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 41 TO 51. HIGHS 69 TO 79.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 38 TO
48. HIGHS 69 TO 79. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.

$$

AKZ223-301700-
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
INCLUDING...SALCHA...DELTA JUNCTION...FORT GREELY...
HARDING/BIRCH LAKE...DRY CREEK...DOT LAKE...HEALY LAKE
250 PM AKDT FRI JUL 29 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP         90           70           50           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      56 (+1)      55-65 (-2)   46-55        63-73
RH % (24H TREND)      83-98 (-1)   ABV 40 (+11) 75-90        ABV 40
20FTWND(MPH)          W 5-10 G15   SW 5-10 G15  S 8-12       SW 5-10
CWR                   20           20           10           10
LAL                   1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 40 TO 50.
HIGHS 63 TO 73. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
42 TO 52. HIGHS 67 TO 77. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 39 TO
49. HIGHS 68 TO 78. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.

$$

AKZ224-301700-
UPPER TANANA VALLEY AND THE FORTYMILE COUNTRY-
INCLUDING...TOK...TANACROSS...EAGLE...TETLIN...NORTHWAY...ALCAN...
CHICKEN...BOUNDARY
250 PM AKDT FRI JUL 29 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP         60           60           40           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-55 (+8)   61-71 (0)    39-49        66-76
RH % (24H TREND)      77-92 (-4)   ABV 40 (+13) 70-85        37-52
20FTWND(MPH)          SW 7-11 G19  SW 5-9       SW 5-9       SW 3-7 G20
CWR                   20           20           10           20
LAL                   1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 32 TO 42.
HIGHS 66 TO 76. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
34 TO 44. HIGHS 70 TO 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
33 TO 43. HIGHS 70 TO 80. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.

$$

AKZ225-301700-
DENALI-
INCLUDING...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK...
KANTISHNA
250 PM AKDT FRI JUL 29 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP         100          100          80           80
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-53 (0)    50-60 (0)    42-52        54-64
RH % (24H TREND)      77-92 (+3)   ABV 40 (+7)  88-100       ABV 40
20FTWND(MPH)          SW 11-15 G26 SW 4-8 G17   SW 4-8 G17   SW 3-7
CWR                   90           90           50           20
LAL                   1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 33 TO 43.
HIGHS 58 TO 68. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
36 TO 46. HIGHS 62 TO 72. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 32 TO 42.
HIGHS 62 TO 72. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AKZ226-301700-
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
250 PM AKDT FRI JUL 29 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP         60           60           40           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-51 (+2)   59-69 (0)    34-44        63-73
RH % (24H TREND)      71-86 (-3)   ABV 40 (+10) 73-88        39-54
20FTWND(MPH)          W 5-9 G17    SW 5-10 G15  SW 4-8       SW 4-8
CWR                   40           30           10            10
LAL                   1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 30 TO 40.
HIGHS 63 TO 73. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
30 TO 40. HIGHS 69 TO 79. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 28 TO 38.
HIGHS 69 TO 79. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

DA JUL 16



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