Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
000
FNUS53 KAPX 241948
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
348 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2015

...MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL ARRIVES TONIGHT WITH A SHOWERY WEEK AHEAD...

.DISCUSSION...AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING
INCREASED HUMIDITY TO NORTHERN MICHIGAN TONIGHT...ALONG WITH A
GOOD SHOT AT SHOWERS. THE UPCOMING WEEK WILL FEATURE SEASONABLY
MILD TEMPERATURES...HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS...AND PERIOD CHANCES
FOR RAINFALL.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-250815-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
348 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL
                    2000...THEN RAIN UNTIL 0200...THEN RAIN AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 41 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (290).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.67-1.10 IN.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0800...THEN RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75...EXCEPT 62-67 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE COOLER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......43 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 27 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1150).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 27 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.44-0.81 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (70).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 33 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80...EXCEPT 58-63 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (580).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 27 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 12
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.20 IN.

$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-250815-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
348 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN AFTER 2000. CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 32 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (260).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.23-0.91 IN.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SCATTERED
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79...EXCEPT 62-67 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1530).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 27 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.80 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 27 TO 33 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79...EXCEPT 61-66 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 2 DEGREES WARMER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (660).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.27 IN.

$$

MIZ020-025>027-250815-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
348 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    UNTIL 2000...THEN RAIN. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 6 DEGREES WARMER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 36 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (260).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.54-1.04 IN.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SCATTERED
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75...EXCEPT AROUND 61 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT...EXCEPT 72-77 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......29 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 14 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1340).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 36 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.30-0.63 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (70).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 27 TO 36 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77...EXCEPT AROUND 60 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER...EXCEPT 6 DEGREES COOLER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT...EXCEPT 70-75 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (420).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 24 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 9
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.28 IN.

$$

MIZ031>033-250815-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
348 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY UNTIL
                    2000...THEN RAIN. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 29 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (190).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.34-0.69 IN.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SCATTERED
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 4 DEGREES WARMER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 13 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1350).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 39 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.35 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (40).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 27 TO 36 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77...EXCEPT 62-67 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (430).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 24 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 6 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.18-0.36 IN.

$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-250815-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
348 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL
                    2000...THEN RAIN. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (340).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.20-0.76 IN.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1200. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1450).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 33 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.45 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 27 TO 36 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS
                    AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (570).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 27 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.39 IN.

$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SMITH



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.