Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 250832
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
432 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT OVER LOWER MICHIGAN WILL SWEEP ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND THIS WILL LEAD TO SOME GUSTY WINDS
ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME SHOWERS. COOLER AIR IN THE WAKE OF
THE FRONT WILL THEN SET THE STAGE FOR SOME NUISANCE LAKE EFFECT RAIN
SHOWERS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...WHILE THE
REMAINDER OF WESTERN NEW YORK WILL BE COOLER WITH BRISK WINDS. A
SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND CAN BE EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010-011-252115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
432 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           30            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       66           41           54
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 11                      W 17
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 21         W 15         W 19
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.02         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     1            0
PRECIP BEGIN                     3 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         7 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               57           89           54
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4830          240         5710
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 29         W 18        NW 31
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              140070         4320       177010
DISPERSION INDEX                  140            4          177
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-252115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
432 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           30            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       64           39           53
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  9                      W 18
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 18         W 16         W 18
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.02         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                     4 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING        11 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               55           96           54
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4530          710         5250
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 31         W 25        NW 32
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              140430        17750       168000
DISPERSION INDEX                  140           18          168
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-252115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
432 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           40            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       68           43           55
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  8                      W 19
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 16         W 16         W 20
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.03         0.02         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                     4 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         5 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               49           87           54
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5060          700         6110
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 29         W 23         W 38
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              146740        16100       232180
DISPERSION INDEX                  147           16          232
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-252115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
432 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           70           80
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       62           39           52
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  5                      W 13
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 11         W 14         W 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.11         0.17         0.13
PRECIP DURATION                     1            4            8
PRECIP BEGIN                     3 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               57          100           60
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5130         1410         5430
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 21        SW 23         W 30
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              107730        32430       162900
DISPERSION INDEX                  108           32          163
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.

WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$

RSH





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