Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS51 KCTP 121006
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
506 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

.DISCUSSION...

A potent upper level disturbance and surface low will move across
Northern Pennsylvania this morning, quickly followed by the
passage of an arctic front, that will usher in the coldest
air of the season for later today through the midweek period.

Winds will increase and gust frequently into the 35 to 45 mph
range behind the front with significant lake effect snows
developing over the northwest part of the state by late in the
day.

PAZ004-122130-
Warren-
Including the city of Warren
506 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip Type              Snow Showers Snow Showers Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)                 100          100          100
Temp (24h trend)              31 (+2)     11 (-14)           18
RH % (24h trend)              57 (-6)       92 (0)           64
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W 10 G26                  W 12 G29
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 13 G30     W 12 G31     W 11 G29
Precip Amount                    0.17         0.24         0.09
Precip Duration                    12           12           12
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5380         3980         5500
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 31        NW 35         W 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              158150        75740       154600
Dispersion                          5            5            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
around 13. Highs in the mid 20s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
around 14. Highs in the upper 20s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
around 18. Highs in the mid 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows in
the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

PAZ005-006-010-011-122130-
McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
506 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type              Snow Showers Snow Showers Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  90           80           70
Temp (24h trend)              33 (+3)      9 (-16)           19
RH % (24h trend)              60 (+4)     100 (+8)           52
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        SW  9 G20                  W 14 G35
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 14 G30     W 13 G31     W 14 G36
Precip Amount                    0.10         0.08         0.06
Precip Duration                    12           12            9
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5240         3180         5370
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 29        NW 33        NW 33
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              146540        61270       164310
Dispersion                          5            5            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
around 12. Highs in the lower 20s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
around 13. Highs in the mid 20s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
around 17. Highs in the lower 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows in
the mid 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ012-017-018-122130-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
506 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type              Snow Showers Snow Showers Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  60           70           50
Temp (24h trend)               33 (0)     11 (-16)           21
RH % (24h trend)             58 (+10)      96 (+6)           50
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        SW 10 G22                  W 17 G36
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 16 G31     W 17 G34     W 16 G36
Precip Amount                    0.06         0.03         0.03
Precip Duration                     7            8            3
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5180         2810         4870
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 30        NW 33         W 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              141210        58350       164060
Dispersion                          5            5            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
around 14. Highs in the mid 20s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
around 17. Highs in the upper 20s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 18. Highs in the mid 30s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows in
the mid 20s. Highs around 40. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ024-033-122130-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
506 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type              Snow Showers Snow Showers Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  90           70           60
Temp (24h trend)              32 (-4)     10 (-17)           19
RH % (24h trend)             62 (+16)      92 (-8)           47
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W 13 G27                  W 18 G35
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 18 G36     W 20 G38     W 16 G33
Precip Amount                    0.13         0.04         0.05
Precip Duration                    12            9            9
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5550         2830         3570
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 36         W 39         W 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              199140        81230       102520
Dispersion                          5            5            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
around 15. Highs in the upper 20s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
around 19. Highs in the upper 20s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 18. Highs in the mid 30s.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows in
the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
around 30. Highs around 40. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ019-025>028-034-035-122130-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, and McConnellsburg
506 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                   Showers Snow Showers Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  30           30           30
Temp (24h trend)              37 (-3)     13 (-16)           25
RH % (24h trend)              41 (+2)      92 (+4)           38
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        SW  9 G27                  W 19 G36
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 16 G34     W 18 G37     W 16 G36
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.01         0.01
Precip Duration                     3            2            2
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5050         2920         4310
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 33         W 36         W 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              201650        76910       131760
Dispersion                          5            5            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
around 17. Highs in the upper 20s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the lower 20s. Highs in the lower 30s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
around 30. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ037-041-042-122130-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
506 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type              Snow Showers Snow Showers Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  50           40           30
Temp (24h trend)              33 (+2)     12 (-13)           21
RH % (24h trend)              58 (+4)     81 (-11)           50
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        SW 10 G19                  W 18 G36
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 13 G27     W 16 G30     W 18 G36
Precip Amount                    0.06         0.03         0.01
Precip Duration                     3            2            2
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           4260         3400         5260
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 18        NW 33        NW 33
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               91140        83960       162910
Dispersion                          5            5            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 13. Highs in the lower
20s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
around 15. Highs in the upper 20s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 18. Highs in the lower
30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper
30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ045-046-049>053-122130-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, and Berwick
506 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                   Showers Snow Showers Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  30           20           20
Temp (24h trend)              38 (+1)     15 (-14)           26
RH % (24h trend)              52 (+6)     74 (-26)           46
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         S  6 G17                  W 16 G36
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 11 G27     W 13 G32     W 16 G36
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     2            1            1
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           4200         3780         5500
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 29        NW 30         W 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              124480        73850       159470
Dispersion                          5            5            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 16. Highs in the upper
20s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
around 19. Highs in the lower 30s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 20. Highs in the mid 30s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower
40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-122130-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
506 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Type              Snow Showers Snow Showers Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  20           20           10
Temp (24h trend)              43 (+1)     17 (-14)           28
RH % (24h trend)              41 (+2)      88 (-8)           38
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        SW  7 G21                  W 17 G36
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 14 G32     W 16 G35     W 16 G36
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     1            1            1
Precip Begin                     6 AM         7 PM   Continuing
Precip End                       1 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           4510         2920         4290
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 24         W 35         W 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              118140        73880       121600
Dispersion                          5            5            5
DSI                                 1            1            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
around 19. Highs in the lower 30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered snow showers. Lows in the
lower 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ058-122130-
Schuylkill-
Including the city of Pottsville
506 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                   Showers Snow Showers Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  30           20           20
Temp (24h trend)               37 (0)     16 (-12)           26
RH % (24h trend)              59 (+8)     78 (-10)           46
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)             S  6                  W 15 G36
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 11 G26     W 14 G30     W 17 G36
Precip Amount                    0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     2            1            1
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           4170         3660         5000
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 25        NW 29        NW 35
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               98020        75480       162210
Dispersion                          5            5            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 16. Highs in the upper
20s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
around 19. Highs in the lower 30s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 19. Highs in the mid 30s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower
40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$



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