Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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FNUS51 KCTP 230930
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
430 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A weak cold front will drop down from the north late today,
before retreating back to the north as a warm front late
tonight and Friday. Ahead of this boundary, the very warm
and rather moist air will produce scattered afternoon
showers and even a few thunderstorms across the region today.
The precipitation will gradually dissipate early tonight
followed by patchy fog late tonight and early Friday.

Strengthening low pressure will move northeast across
the Upper Great Lakes late Friday into early Saturday.
southerly winds will freshen to 10 to 15 mph by the late
morning hours Friday, with gusts around 20 mph.

The cold front trailing south from this low will bring
a few rounds of moderate to heavy rain showers later
Friday night, and perhaps even a few strong to potentially
severe thunderstorms with gusty westerly winds and small
hail during the day Saturday.

Gusty west wind of 35 to 45 mph will develop in the wake
of the front Saturday into Saturday night.

PAZ004>006-010-011-232115-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
430 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Fri

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  60           60           40
Temp (24h trend)               60 (0)      47 (+1)           70
RH % (24h trend)             60 (+15)      100 (0)           53
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)            SW  6                     SE  6
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SW  7      LGT/VAR     S  9 G18
Precip Amount                    0.08         0.12         0.14
Precip Duration                     5            6            3
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3840          190         5630
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 21         S  6        SW 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               84040            0       135420
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 50. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Much
colder. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Much colder. Highs in the lower 30s. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with a chance of light snow. Highs in the mid
30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers. Lows
in the upper 20s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the mid 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the mid
30s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with rain showers likely. Highs around 50.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ012-017-018-232115-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
430 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Fri

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  50           40           30
Temp (24h trend)              63 (+3)      49 (+4)           71
RH % (24h trend)             54 (+10)      100 (0)           53
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SW  7      LGT/VAR         S  8
Precip Amount                    0.05         0.07         0.10
Precip Duration                     3            5            3
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           4330           50         6250
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 21        SE  2         S 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               95970            0       143480
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                     16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers. Highs in the upper 50s. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Much colder. Lows in the upper
20s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Much colder. Highs in the mid 30s. West
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with a chance of light snow and light rain.
Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with scattered snow showers. Lows around
30. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the upper 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the upper
30s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with rain showers likely. Highs in the lower
50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ024-033-232115-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
430 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Fri

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     tstms        tstms      showers
Chance Precip (%)                  50           30           20
Temp (24h trend)              64 (+2)      50 (+3)           70
RH % (24h trend)              52 (+6)      100 (0)           51
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)            SW  6                      S  6
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SW  7      LGT/VAR         S  9
Precip Amount                    0.07         0.01         0.03
Precip Duration                     3            3            1
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           4850           20         6630
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 20        SW  6        SW 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               85810            0       133040
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                     16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            5
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 50. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Breezy, showers. Highs in the upper 50s. Southwest
winds 20 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow
showers. Much colder. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds 20 to
25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Much colder. Highs in the mid 30s. West
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with a chance of light rain and light snow.
Highs around 40. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs
around 50. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Not as cool. Lows in
the lower 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
50s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

PAZ019-025>028-034-035-232115-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, and McConnellsburg
430 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Fri

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     tstms        tstms      showers
Chance Precip (%)                  50           40           20
Temp (24h trend)              68 (+4)      50 (+5)           72
RH % (24h trend)              47 (+7)      96 (-4)           48
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SW  6      LGT/VAR         S  8
Precip Amount                    0.07         0.01         0.03
Precip Duration                     3            3            1
Precip Begin                    10 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5370          100         4900
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW 18         S  5         S 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               97690            0        94180
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Breezy, showers. Highs around 60. Southwest winds
20 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Much colder. Lows around
30. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Colder. Highs around 40. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with a chance of light rain and light snow.
Highs in the lower 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs
around 50. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
50s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

PAZ037-041-042-232115-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
430 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Fri

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     tstms        tstms      showers
Chance Precip (%)                  40           40           40
Temp (24h trend)              61 (+1)      48 (+3)           67
RH % (24h trend)             56 (+12)       96 (0)           53
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)            SW  5                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SW  8      LGT/VAR     S  9 G17
Precip Amount                    0.04         0.06         0.11
Precip Duration                     2            5            3
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           4010           60         3630
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 21        SW  3         S 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               93870            0        90640
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Breezy, showers. Highs in the upper 50s. South winds
20 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Much colder. Lows in the upper
20s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Much colder. Highs in the mid 30s. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with a chance of light snow and light rain.
Highs in the upper 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the mid 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in
the mid 30s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs
around 50. South winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

PAZ045-046-049>053-058-232115-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick,
and Pottsville
430 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Fri

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     tstms        tstms      showers
Chance Precip (%)                  40           40           20
Temp (24h trend)              65 (+7)      48 (+5)           71
RH % (24h trend)              52 (+9)      100 (0)           51
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SW  5      LGT/VAR         S  7
Precip Amount                    0.06         0.03         0.06
Precip Duration                     3            3            1
Precip Begin                     1 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3860           50         3800
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW 15         S  7         S 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               75960            0        80690
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers. Highs in the lower 60s. South winds 15 to
20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Much colder. Highs around 40. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with a chance of light rain and light snow.
Highs in the lower 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the upper 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 30s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Highs in the
lower 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-232115-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
430 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Fri

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                     tstms        tstms      showers
Chance Precip (%)                  40           50           10
Temp (24h trend)              69 (+5)      49 (+6)           73
RH % (24h trend)             46 (+10)      100 (0)           50
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                      S  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SW  5      LGT/VAR         S  9
Precip Amount                    0.08         0.03         0.01
Precip Duration                     2            3            1
Precip Begin                     1 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           4230            0         4240
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW 16         S  6         S 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               68630            0        87490
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                     16-25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds
15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds 15 to
20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Much colder. Highs in the mid 40s. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with a chance of light rain and light snow.
Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered snow and rain
showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the lower 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$



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