Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 261930
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
329 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015

.DISCUSSION...RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ELEVATED INTO WEDNESDAY AS WARM
AND MOIST SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW PERSISTS. WITH THIS AIRMASS IN
PLACE...EXPECT A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY INTO
TONIGHT WITH A CONTINUED CHANCE ON WEDNESDAY. DRIER WEATHER WILL
RETURN ON THURSDAY WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES DROPPING BELOW 40 PERCENT
BY AFTERNOON.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-271400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
329 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 AM...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    25 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    6 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7410-7910 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2570).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 PM.
                    POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING SOUTH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7340-7840 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (830).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-271400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
329 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 AM...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......680-880 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    7 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7680-8180 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH...INCREASING TO 35 TO
                    40 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2800).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 PM.
                    POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......140-340 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400-6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (700).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-271400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
329 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 2 AM...THEN CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1120-1320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8350-8850 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2920).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 PM.
                    POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH
                    MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......140-340 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND
                    5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6190-6690 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (770).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.

$$

DG



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