Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 260805
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
405 AM EDT SAT JUL 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR WILL MOVE BACK INTO LOWER MICHIGAN TODAY
THROUGH SUNDAY...ALONG WITH AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT WHEN HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE. ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT WILL THEN USHER
IN MUCH COOLER AIR BY MONDAY THAT WILL LAST THROUGH MID WEEK.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-262115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
405 AM EDT SAT JUL 26 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 8 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    9 AM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 8 AM UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4380-4880 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (790).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 PM.
                    POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL NOON. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER NOON. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6860-7360 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1080).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-262115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
405 AM EDT SAT JUL 26 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 8 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 8 AM UNTIL
                    NOON...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4610-5110 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (800).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 11 PM...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 1 AM. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH MIDNIGHT...BECOMING
                    LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......180-380 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 PM. SHOWERS LIKELY.
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER 2 PM. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6250-6750 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (980).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-262115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
405 AM EDT SAT JUL 26 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    9 AM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 8 AM UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5030-5530 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (920).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 PM. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1 AM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH MIDNIGHT...BECOMING
                    LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1 PM. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 1 PM. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9210-9710 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1380).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

$$

BT






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