Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 291941
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
341 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO INFLUENCE THE
REGION...BRINGING THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND.
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN SATURATED...KEEPING MINIMUM RH VALUES IN THE
UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S. NEXT CHANCE TO SEE SOME RELIEF FROM
PRECIPITATION WILL TAKE PLACE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE LOW MOVES
NORTHEAST.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-301415-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
341 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 6 AM...THEN RAIN SHOWERS. POP...80
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1410-1610 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (230).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    6 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 6 PM. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1390-1890 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (510).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 25 TO 30 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (110).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 2 PM. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........75-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2850-3350 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (480).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-301415-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
341 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 6 AM...THEN RAIN SHOWERS. POP...80
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1410-1610 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (240).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    7 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 7 PM. POP...90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........76-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1820-2320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (690).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.76-1.00 IN.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1240-1440 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 25 TO 30 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (60).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 2 PM. POP...60
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2240-2740 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (370).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-301415-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
341 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 9 PM...THEN RAIN SHOWERS. POP...80
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1090-1290 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (150).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    3 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 3 PM. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1730-2230 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (620).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.76-1.00 IN.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......920-1120 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (50).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 2 PM.
                    POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5210-5710 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (730).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70.

$$

DRK



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