Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 230747
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
347 AM EDT SAT AUG 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THIS FRONT WILL BRING A GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY BEFORE COOLER AND DRIER AIR FILTERS INTO THE REGION ON
SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE EXPANDING SOUTH FROM NEW ENGLAND WILL
MAINTAIN COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK
WITH A RETURN TO MORE SEASONABLE WEATHER LATER IN THE WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-240000-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
347 AM EDT SAT AUG 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           50           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   3            3            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          90           71           85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      E  5         NE 10
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) E  4         NE  6        NE 12
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.09         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1
INVERSION             79/0900      2000         78/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        59           92           52
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5220                      5520
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  2                      E 18
VENTILATION RATE      10440                     99360
ADI EARLY             19 GEN POOR  11 POOR      38 FAIR
ADI LATE              18 GEN POOR  6 VERY POOR  54 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            5            5
MAX LVORI LATE        3            6            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-240000-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
347 AM EDT SAT AUG 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           40           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
LAL                   3            3            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          92           70           86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      E  4         NE  8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) E  3         NE  5        NE 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.08         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1
INVERSION             79/0900      2000         77/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        52           95           52
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5860                      5790
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  2                      NE 16
VENTILATION RATE      11720                     92640
ADI EARLY             13 GEN POOR  10 POOR      39 FAIR
ADI LATE              13 GEN POOR  5 VERY POOR  55 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            6            6
MAX LVORI LATE        3            6            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-240000-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
347 AM EDT SAT AUG 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           40           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          94           72           87
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      E  5         NE 10
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) E  4         NE  5        NE 12 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.06         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1
INVERSION             82/0900      2000         79/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        50           95           56
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5880                      5670
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  3                     E 18
VENTILATION RATE      17640                     102060
ADI EARLY             5 VERY POOR  14 GEN POOR  40 FAIR
ADI LATE              12 POOR      5 VERY POOR  58 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        3            6            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-240000-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
347 AM EDT SAT AUG 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           40           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          96           72           88
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      E  4         NE  9
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) E  3         NE  5        NE 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.05         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1
INVERSION             81/0900      2000         79/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        44           95           54
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   6700                      6410
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  2                      E 15
VENTILATION RATE      13400                     96150
ADI EARLY             10 POOR      14 GEN POOR  40 FAIR
ADI LATE              13 GEN POOR  6 VERY POOR  52 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            6            6
MAX LVORI LATE        2            7            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-240000-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
347 AM EDT SAT AUG 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           40           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          95           70           87
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      NE  4        NE  9
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  3        NE  5        NE 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.06         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1
INVERSION             79/0900      2000         77/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        49           97           53
DSI                   3                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   6510                      6090
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  2                      NE 16
VENTILATION RATE      13020                     97440
ADI EARLY             8 POOR       11 POOR      40 FAIR
ADI LATE              10 POOR      8 POOR       69 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       7            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        3            6            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

40




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