Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 112035
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
335 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

.DISCUSSION...
The week looks dry although there is some potential for rainfall on
Friday. Sunshine will bring a modest temperature rise bringing
temperatures close to normal on Tuesday. A strong cold front will
move across the area late Tuesday with Arctic air returning Tuesday
night through Wednesday night. Temperatures will moderate late week.
A cold front may bring a brief cool down to start the weekend
followed by a return to seasonable temperatures Sunday into early
next week.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-121245-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
335 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          37           60           25           43
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  3        SW 11 G22    NW 11 G22    NW 10
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        W 13 G22     NW 11 G20    W  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1800         51/0900      None         None
Dispersion            Poor                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        90           43           59           29
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4610                      3910
Transport wnd (mph)                W 28                      NW 26
Ventilation rate                   129080                    101660
ADI early             2 Very poor  67 Good      42 Gen good  80 Good
ADI late              6 Very poor  97 Good      26 Fair      94 Good
Max LVORI early       6            4            2            2
Max LVORI late        6            1            2            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain showers.
Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Northwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-121245-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
335 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          36           61           25           42
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  3         SW 10        NW 11        NW  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        W 13 G20     NW  8        W  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1800         47/0900      None         None
Dispersion            Poor                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        93           41           56           29
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            3            4            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4600                      3850
Transport wnd (mph)                W 29                      NW 22
Ventilation rate                   133400                    84700
ADI early             2 Very poor  64 Good      42 Gen good  69 Good
ADI late              6 Very poor  100 Good     22 Fair      94 Good
Max LVORI early       6            5            2            2
Max LVORI late        6            1            2            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain showers.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 45 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-121245-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
335 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          38           62           26           46
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  3        SW 10 G20    NW 11 G21    NW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        W 13 G21     NW  9 G20    W  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1800         49/0900      None         None
Dispersion            Poor                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        91           42           68           31
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4460                      3830
Transport wnd (mph)                W 28                      NW 18
Ventilation rate                   124880                    68940
ADI early             2 Very poor  65 Good      39 Fair      71 Good
ADI late              6 Very poor  90 Good      24 Fair      72 Good
Max LVORI early       5            5            2            3
Max LVORI late        5            1            2            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 89 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-121245-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
335 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          36           59           24           43
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         SW 10        NW 11        W  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        W 13 G20     NW  8        W  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1800         45/0900      None         None
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        94           39           62           29
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            5            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4420                      3900
Transport wnd (mph)                W 26                      W 20
Ventilation rate                   114920                    78000
ADI early             2 Very poor  59 Gen good  42 Gen good  65 Good
ADI late              6 Very poor  92 Good      21 Fair      84 Good
Max LVORI early       5            5            2            3
Max LVORI late        6            1            2            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH 88 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent. West winds around 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-121245-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
335 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          38           61           25           44
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  3         SW 10        NW 10        W  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        W 12         NW  7        W  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1800         48/0900      None         None
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        90           42           69           31
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4400                      3810
Transport wnd (mph)                W 25                      W 16
Ventilation rate                   110000                    60960
ADI early             2 Very poor  63 Good      36 Fair      73 Good
ADI late              6 Very poor  86 Good      21 Fair      68 Good
Max LVORI early       5            5            2            3
Max LVORI late        5            1            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 90 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

RGZ



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