Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 220831
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
431 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will expand across the area from the western
Atlantic through Wednesday, allowing the heat and high humidity
to continue. A cold front will track across the Eastern
Carolinas from the northwest late Wednesday and Thursday then pass
of the coast Thursday night. Canadian high pressure will build in
behind the front bringing drier and breezier weather with slightly
below normal temps for the weekend.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable

Fog potential for tonight...Low

NCZ105>110-230045-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
431 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           30           50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          90           75           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         SW  5        SW  8
Precip amount         0.07         0.01         0.13
Precip duration       2            1            2
Inversion             79/0900      1900         80/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        59           95           60
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4820                      4610
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  6                     SW 13
Ventilation rate      28920                     59930
ADI early             6 Very poor  27 Fair      32 Fair
ADI late              34 Fair      6 Very poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           5            6
Max LVORI late        3            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 85 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-230045-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
431 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           0            50
Precip type           Tstms        None         Tstms
LAL                   3            1            3
Min/Max Temp          92           74           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW  5        SW  7
Precip amount         0.04         0.00         0.13
Precip duration       1                         2
Inversion             78/0900      1900         79/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        53           96           54
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5220                      4680
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  6                     SW 10
Ventilation rate      31320                     46800
ADI early             4 Very poor  24 Fair      28 Fair
ADI late              27 Fair      5 Very poor  41 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           5            8
Max LVORI late        3            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 91 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-230045-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
431 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           50           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          90           74           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         SW  5        SW  8
Precip amount         0.09         0.03         0.12
Precip duration       3            1            2
Inversion             79/0900      1900         80/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        60           96           59
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5030                      4600
Transport wnd (mph)   S  6                      SW 10
Ventilation rate      30180                     46000
ADI early             5 Very poor  22 Fair      29 Fair
ADI late              31 Fair      5 Very poor  33 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           5            7
Max LVORI late        3            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 85 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 84 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-230045-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
431 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          93           74           93
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW  5        SW  7
Precip amount         0.06         0.03         0.13
Precip duration       1            1            2
Inversion             78/0900      1900         79/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        51           97           49
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5470                      4730
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  6                     SW  8
Ventilation rate      32820                     37840
ADI early             4 Very poor  20 Gen poor  26 Fair
ADI late              26 Fair      4 Very poor  28 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           5            7
Max LVORI late        2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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