Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 190724
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
324 AM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Mostly clear skies and a warming trend are expected into the
weekend, as a dry upper ridge builds across the region. An
approaching cold front will bring a few showers on Tuesday,
before moving offshore Wednesday.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Unfavorable
throgh mornng. Wind profile I-F maximum wind of NE 19 kt at 1100 ft
agl. Wind profile becoming more favorable in the afternoon.

Fog potential for tonight...Low

NCZ105>110-192330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
324 AM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          77           47           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  6         N  4         N  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  5        N  3         NE  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             68/1100      1900         70/1100
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        47           100          34
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4840                      3940
Transport wnd (mph)   N  6                      NW  2
Ventilation rate      29040                     7880
ADI early             31 Fair      16 Gen poor  23 Fair
ADI late              34 Fair      2 Very poor  23 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            7            10
Max LVORI late        2            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the lower 60s.
Maximum RH 93 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 55 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-192330-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
324 AM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          76           46           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  5         N  3         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  4         LGT/VAR      NE  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             67/1100      1900         69/1100
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        44           100          32
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4380                      4100
Transport wnd (mph)   N  3                      N  3
Ventilation rate      13140                     12300
ADI early             14 Gen poor  14 Gen poor  11 poor
ADI late              19 Gen poor  1 Very poor  15 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       9            7            10
Max LVORI late        2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 45 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 51 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-192330-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
324 AM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          77           48           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  7         N  4         N  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  6        NE  4        E  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             70/1100      1900         70/1100
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        48           100          34
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          5            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4940                      3740
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  7                     NE  5
Ventilation rate      34580                     18700
ADI early             38 Fair      15 Gen poor  22 Fair
ADI late              38 Fair      2 Very poor  23 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            6            10
Max LVORI late        2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the lower 60s.
Maximum RH 91 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 58 percent. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-192330-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
324 AM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          78           46           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  6         N  3         N  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  5        NE  3        NE  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             68/1100      1900         69/1100
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        45           100          32
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4610                      3910
Transport wnd (mph)   N  5                      NE  2
Ventilation rate      23050                     7820
ADI early             27 Fair      14 Gen poor  12 poor
ADI late              27 Fair      1 Very poor  16 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       6            6            10
Max LVORI late        2            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 54 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-192330-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
324 AM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          77           45           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  5         LGT/VAR      N  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  3         LGT/VAR      NE  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             65/1100      1900         68/1100
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        41           99           31
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3880                      4480
Transport wnd (mph)   N  2                      N  3
Ventilation rate      7760                      13440
ADI early             15 Gen poor  12 poor      9 poor
ADI late              18 Gen poor  1 Very poor  20 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       6            5            9
Max LVORI late        2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 51 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
43 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

8


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