Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 232033
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
333 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure off the coast will bring unseasonable warmth through
the weekend. A cold front will move into the area early on Monday,
tempering the warmth a little. Seasonable temperatures are expected
Tuesday and Wednesday before another warmup Thursday. A stronger
cold front will arrive Friday.

Fog potential for tonight...High

NCZ105>110-241245-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
333 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           20           0            30
Precip type           Showers      Showers      None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          55           80           62           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         SW  5        S  8         SW 10
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        SW 10        SW  7        SW 12
Precip amount         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.01
Precip duration       0            1                         1
Inversion             2000         63/0900      1900         67/0800
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        100          54           96           50
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5900                      6430
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 16                     SW 26
Ventilation rate                   94400                     167180
ADI early             6 Very poor  48 Gen good  7 poor       77 Good
ADI late              4 Very poor  50 Gen good  8 poor       85 Good
Max LVORI early       6            9            5            6
Max LVORI late        9            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 66 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 89 percent. North winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 82 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-241245-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
333 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           0            30
Precip type           None         Showers      None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          58           80           63           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         SW  6        S  8         SW 10
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         SW 10        S  7         SW 12
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.04
Precip duration                    1                         1
Inversion             2000         65/0900      1900         68/0800
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        99           52           94           49
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            5            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5760                      6280
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 15                     SW 26
Ventilation rate                   86400                     163280
ADI early             6 Very poor  53 Gen good  7 poor       83 Good
ADI late              4 Very poor  47 Gen good  8 poor       88 Good
Max LVORI early       6            9            4            6
Max LVORI late        9            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 64 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 83 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-241245-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
333 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           0            30
Precip type           None         Showers      None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          59           81           63           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         SW  7        S  8         SW 11
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  6         SW 11        S  9         SW 13 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04
Precip duration                    1                         1
Inversion             2000         65/0900      1900         68/0800
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        98           50           90           47
DSI                                4                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5980                      6110
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 15                     SW 31
Ventilation rate                   89700                     189410
ADI early             8 poor       60 Gen good  14 Gen poor  86 Good
ADI late              5 Very poor  52 Gen good  9 poor       101 Very good
Max LVORI early       6            7            4            5
Max LVORI late        8            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northwest winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-241245-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
333 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           0            30
Precip type           None         Showers      None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          58           81           62           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         SW  5        S  8         SW 10
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         S 10         S  7         SW 12
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.01
Precip duration                    1                         1
Inversion             2000         65/0900      1900         67/0800
Dispersion            Poor                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        100          53           96           47
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            4            5            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5850                      6330
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 13                     SW 24
Ventilation rate                   76050                     151920
ADI early             7 poor       46 Gen good  7 poor       74 Good
ADI late              3 Very poor  44 Gen good  7 poor       78 Good
Max LVORI early       6            9            5            6
Max LVORI late        9            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 71 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-241245-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
333 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           0            30
Precip type           None         Showers      None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          58           82           63           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         SW  6        S  8         SW 10
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         SW 10        S  8         SW 12
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip duration                    1                         1
Inversion             2000         66/0900      1900         68/0800
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        100          49           93           47
DSI                                4                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5840                      6280
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 13                     SW 25
Ventilation rate                   75920                     157000
ADI early             6 Very poor  47 Gen good  6 Very poor  81 Good
ADI late              4 Very poor  44 Gen good  8 poor       86 Good
Max LVORI early       6            9            4            6
Max LVORI late        9            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 68 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 82 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-241245-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
333 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           0            30
Precip type           None         Showers      None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          59           81           63           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         SW  7        S  8         SW 11
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         SW 10        S  8         SW 12
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05
Precip duration                    1                         1
Inversion             2000         66/0900      1900         68/0800
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        98           49           90           47
DSI                                4                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5970                      6070
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 16                     SW 30
Ventilation rate                   95520                     182100
ADI early             8 poor       50 Gen good  14 Gen poor  85 Good
ADI late              4 Very poor  52 Gen good  9 poor       101 Very good
Max LVORI early       6            6            3            5
Max LVORI late        8            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northwest winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

III



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