Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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473
FNUS52 KILM 230841
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
341 AM EST MON JAN 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE CAROLINAS
THROUGH MONDAY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, AS A
A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THURSDAY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS
POSSIBLE. COLDER TEMPERATURES AND A DRY WEATHER PATTERN MOVE IN
NEXT WEEKEND.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-240045-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,
AND SUNSET BEACH
341 AM EST MON JAN 23 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           30           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE
LAL                   2            2            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          65           44           62
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SW  9        W  7         NW 11 G22
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW 10        W  9         NW 12 G22
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.02         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2            0
INVERSION             59/0800      1800         47/0700
MAX/MIN RH (%)        56           90           46
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            4            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   6230                      5160
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      NW 25
VENTILATION RATE      49840                     129000
ADI EARLY             44 GEN GOOD  9 POOR       77 GOOD
ADI LATE              43 GEN GOOD  9 POOR       79 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            4
MAX LVORI LATE        3            5            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
76 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
80 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-240045-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW
341 AM EST MON JAN 23 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           20           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE
LAL                   2            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          63           43           63
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SW  8        W  6         NW  9
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW  9        NW  7        NW 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.02         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2            0
INVERSION             56/0600      1800         46/0700
MAX/MIN RH (%)        58           91           47
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4170                      4970
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      NW 24
VENTILATION RATE      25020                     119280
ADI EARLY             40 FAIR      7 POOR       77 GOOD
ADI LATE              27 FAIR      8 POOR       78 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        3            6            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY, COOLER. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-240045-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CONWAY, RED HILL, MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN,
AND MURRELLS INLET
341 AM EST MON JAN 23 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE
LAL                   2            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          63           44           64
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SW  9        W  8         NW 10 G20
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW 11 G22    W  9         NW 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2
INVERSION             58/0600      1800         47/0600
MAX/MIN RH (%)        60           90           46
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4390                      4540
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      NW 23
VENTILATION RATE      39510                     104420
ADI EARLY             37 FAIR      9 POOR       81 GOOD
ADI LATE              26 FAIR      8 POOR       75 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            4            5
MAX LVORI LATE        3            5            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 81 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
79 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-240045-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,
AND KINGSTREE
341 AM EST MON JAN 23 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE
LAL                   2            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          63           43           65
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SW  7        W  7         W  9
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     W 10         NW  8        W 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2
INVERSION             55/0600      1800         46/0600
MAX/MIN RH (%)        63           91           46
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3710                      4620
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      NW 21
VENTILATION RATE      29680                     97020
ADI EARLY             28 FAIR      8 POOR       70 GOOD
ADI LATE              22 FAIR      7 POOR       67 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            4            5
MAX LVORI LATE        3            6            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
96 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 80 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY, COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
79 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

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