Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 110822
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
322 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL SLOWLY MODERATE ACROSS THE
AREA STARTING TOMORROW. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY...PRODUCING A CHANCE OF SNOW AND
RAIN. ARCTIC AIR WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THIS
WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-120930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
322 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+7)   16-21 (+7)   31-36
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-10)  95-100 (+8)  61-66
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      W  6
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.08
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW  8
DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      W  8

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 9 TO
22. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
17 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 3 TO 10. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-120930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
322 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+10)  17-22 (+9)   31-36
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-4)   95-100 (+15) 71-76
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      W  7 G15
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         2 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.08
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     SW  6
DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   19 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      W  9 G18

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 14 TO
22. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
17 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 3 TO 12. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-120930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
322 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+14)  20-25 (+8)   39-44
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (0)    95-100 (+10) 57-62
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      W  7
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     W  8
DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      W  9 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 12 TO
23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 5 TO 15. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-120930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
322 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+14)  23-28 (+6)   42-47
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+2)   95-100 (+15) 51-56
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM
PRECIP END                                      7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      W  8
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   29 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 10 TO 16. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-120930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
322 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+15)  22-27 (+5)   43-48
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+1)   95-100 (+20) 50-55
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM
PRECIP END                                      7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     W  7
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   25 FAIR
MAX LVORI             3                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 10 TO 16. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-120930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
322 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+8)   20-25 (+6)   34-39
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (0)    95-100 (+19) 65-70
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.07
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      W  8
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      W  8 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 13 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 5 TO 14. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-120930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
322 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+10)  21-26 (+5)   39-44
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+8)   93-98 (+14)  50-55
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     W  9
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   30 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 11 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 17. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-120930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
322 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016 /222 AM CST THU FEB 11 2016/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+12)  23-28 (+5)   45-50
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+6)   92-97 (+15)  46-51
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      W  9
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               35 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G15

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 20. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$


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