Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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918
FNUS54 KMRX 291936
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
336 PM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY
TO AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT WILL SPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. THE
PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF ON FRIDAY AS THIS SYSTEM SHIFTS TO OUR
EAST...LEADING TO A WARM AND DRY WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-302045-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
336 PM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      48-53 (+3)   69-74 (+2)   50-55        61-66
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+4)  47-52 (-9)   95-100       50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE 11 G28                 S  8 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S 15 G34     SE 14 G33    SW  9 G23
Precip type           NONE         NONE         tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            70           80
Precip duration                                 2            5
Precip begin                                    8 PM         Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.49         0.22
LAL                   1            1            5            2
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5800                      8200
Transport wnd (mph)                S 21                      SW 20
Dispersion                         68 Good                   106 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE 14 G28                 S 11 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  5 G15    S 19 G34     SE 17 G33    SW 11 G23

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 40s.
North winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Highs in the lower 60s to mid
70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 50s to lower
70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 50.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
70s. South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-302045-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
336 PM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      47-52 (+4)   62-67 (-4)   49-54        60-65
RH % (24h trend)      94-99 (+4)   54-59 (-1)   95-100       51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE 12 G32                 S 11 G29
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  5 G19    SE 14 G36    SE 17 G41    W  9 G24
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            30           70           80
Precip duration                    1            2            5
Precip begin                       8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.04         0.53         0.23
LAL                   1            3            4            2
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5600                      9000
Transport wnd (mph)                S 21                      SW 18
Dispersion                         51 Gen good               94 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE 16 G32                 S 14 G29
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  6 G19    SE 17 G36    SE 21 G41    W 11 G24

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 30s
to upper 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s to mid 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to
mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-302045-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
336 PM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      50-55 (+6)   66-71 (-1)   50-55        61-66
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+4)  50-55 (-1)   95-100       47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 17 G42                  SW 14 G33
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  6 G23    S 17 G46     S 20 G53     SW 14 G34
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            30           80           60
Precip duration                    1            4            2
Precip begin                       8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.67         0.08
LAL                   1            3            5            2
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6600                      9000
Transport wnd (mph)                S 28                      SW 26
Dispersion                         83 Good                   130 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 21 G42                  SW 17 G33
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  7 G23    S 22 G46     S 25 G53     SW 18 G34

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 30s to upper 40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 50s to 60s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s to mid 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to
upper 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 50s to mid
70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-302045-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
336 PM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      54-59 (+8)   71-76 (-3)   53-58        66-71
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (0)    44-49 (-6)   92-97        42-47
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 14 G33                  SW 11 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  6 G24    S 16 G39     S 16 G39     SW 11 G26
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           80           50
Precip duration                    1            5            1
Precip begin                       2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.03         0.69         0.04
LAL                   1            2            5            2
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6500                      8200
Transport wnd (mph)                S 26                      SW 24
Dispersion                         102 Very good             127 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 18 G33                  SW 14 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  8 G24    S 20 G39     S 20 G39     SW 14 G26

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 40s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
60s to 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 50s to upper
60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s.
South winds up to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-302045-
Nantahala National Forest-
336 PM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+7)   67-72 (-7)   52-57        65-70
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  52-57 (0)    95-100       45-50
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 12 G27                 SW 10 G24
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6 G18    SE 13 G33    S 12 G32     SW 11 G25
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           80           60
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            2
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.75         0.05
LAL                   1            4            5            2
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      8500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      SW 22
DISPERSION                         79 Good                   115 Very good
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 15 G27                 SW 13 G24
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G18    SE 17 G33    S 16 G32     SW 13 G25

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 40s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 40s. North winds less
than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
60s to 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 50s to upper
60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
50. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to
upper 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-302045-
East Tennessee District East-
336 PM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      50-55 (+4)   70-75 (-1)   52-57        63-68
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+4)  49-54 (-2)   95-100       50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE 11 G28                 SW 11 G32
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S 15 G32     SE 12 G30    SW 12 G32
Precip type           NONE         NONE         tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            80           80
Precip duration                                 3            4
Precip begin                                    Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.54         0.15
LAL                   1            1            5            2
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5300                      8000
Transport wnd (mph)                S 20                      SW 21
Dispersion                         66 Good                   119 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE 14 G28                 SW 14 G32
33ft wind-PM(mph)     E  5         S 18 G32     SE 15 G30    SW 15 G32

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 30s
to upper 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
North winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s to mid 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s to
mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-302045-
East Tennessee District West-
336 PM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      52-57 (+5)   73-78 (+1)   53-58        64-69
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+5)  46-51 (-5)   92-97        45-50
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 10 G30                  SW 11 G28
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  5        S 15 G33     S 12 G30     SW 11 G30
Precip type           NONE         NONE         tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            80           60
Precip duration                                 5            2
Precip begin                                    Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.67         0.05
LAL                   1            1            5            2
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5800                      7900
Transport wnd (mph)                S 25                      SW 24
Dispersion                         101 Very good             136 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 14 G30                  SW 14 G28
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  6        S 19 G33     S 16 G30     SW 15 G30

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s to upper 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper
70s. South winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-302045-
Cumberland District South-
336 PM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017 /236 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017/

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      55-60 (+8)   74-79 (0)    54-59        66-71
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (0)    41-46 (-14)  89-94        42-47
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 12 G32                  SW 12 G27
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  6 G17    S 16 G35     S 15 G35     SW 11 G27
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           80           40
Precip duration                    1            7            1
Precip begin                       8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.06         0.61         0.03
LAL                   1            2            5            2
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6100                      7100
Transport wnd (mph)                S 26                      SW 25
Dispersion                         111 Very good             127 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 15 G32                  SW 15 G27
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  7 G17    S 21 G35     S 19 G35     SW 14 G27

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 70s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower
70s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to upper
70s. South winds up to 10 mph.

$$



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