Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 170851
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
351 AM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Much colder air will continue to push into the area today.
A gradual warming trend will start on Thursday and
continue into the weekend.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-181000-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
351 AM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      15-20 (-18)  5-10 (-1)    34-39
RH % (24h trend)      56-61 (-5)   95-100 (+8)  28-33
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     N  5                      W  5 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      SW  7 G18
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2800                      3700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   800                       1700
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 14                     W 10
Dispersion            8 Poor                    15 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     N  7                      W  7 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  8 G15    NW  6        SW  9 G18

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows 13 to 21. West winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 20s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely or chance of snow showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the 40s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-181000-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
351 AM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      12-17 (-25)  4-9 (-5)     33-38
RH % (24h trend)      59-64 (+10)  86-91 (-4)   23-28
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW  5                     NW  7 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  8 G19    NW  7 G19    NW  8 G20
Precip type           snow showers NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     30           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          7 AM
Precip end            12 PM
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3100                      4000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   300                       1200
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 20                     W 14
Dispersion            4 Very poor               12 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW  7                     NW  9 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  9 G19    NW  9 G19    NW 10 G20

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows 14 to 20. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 20s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely or chance of snow showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the 40s to
lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-181000-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
351 AM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      13-18 (-20)  3-8 (-2)     34-39
RH % (24h trend)      55-60 (0)    86-91 (-4)   26-31
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     N  5                      LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  7 G17     N  6 G17     W  5
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3400                      4100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   400                       1100
Transport wnd (mph)   N 17                      W  8
Dispersion            4 Very poor               6 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     N  7                      N  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  8 G17     N  8 G17     W  7

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows 16 to 21. West winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s to lower 50s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs
in the mid 40s to lower 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely or chance of snow showers. Lows around
30. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-181000-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
351 AM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      17-22 (-15)  5-10 (0)     38-43
RH % (24h trend)      47-52 (-11)  89-94 (-1)   24-29
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     N  8 G20                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  9 G23     N  7 G19     LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2900                      3700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   900                       1700
Transport wnd (mph)   N 20                      NW  7
Dispersion            13 Gen poor               10 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     N 10 G20                  LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N 12 G23     N  8 G19     W  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows 16 to 21. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely or slight chance of snow showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. West winds
5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-181000-
Nantahala National Forest-
351 AM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

CLOUD COVER           MClear       MClear       Clear
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-18)  6-11 (-3)    40-45
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-8)   89-94 (-5)   25-30
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G17                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G22     N  7 G20     W  5
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      3900
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*   700                       1600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 18                      NW  8
DISPERSION            9 Poor                    10 Poor
MAX LVORI             4                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G17                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 12 G22     N  9 G20     W  7

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows 14 to 20. Northwest winds less than
10 mph in the evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 20s. West winds less than
10 mph in the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs
in the 50s to lower 60s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely or slight chance of snow showers. Lows
around 30. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the 40s to mid
50s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-181000-
East Tennessee District East-
351 AM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      17-22 (-18)  5-10 (-4)    35-40
RH % (24h trend)      53-58 (-3)   93-98 (+4)   28-33
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW  5                     LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      SW  6
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2800                      3300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1300                      1800
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 12                     W  8
Dispersion            13 Gen poor               13 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW  7                     W  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  7 G15    NW  5        SW  7

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows 12 to 21. Southwest winds less than
10 mph in the evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 20s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely or chance of snow showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the 40s to
lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-181000-
East Tennessee District West-
351 AM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      18-23 (-7)   4-9 (-1)     35-40
RH % (24h trend)      50-55 (-14)  95-100 (+9)  26-31
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     N  6                      LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  6 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2800                      3100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1500                      1800
Transport wnd (mph)   N 14                      SW  6
Dispersion            17 Gen poor               9 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     N  8                      LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  8 G15     NW  5        SW  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 17. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph in the evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s to lower 30s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely or slight chance of snow showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-181000-
Cumberland District South-
351 AM EST Wed Jan 17 2018 /251 AM CST Wed Jan 17 2018/

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      20-25 (-5)   7-12 (+3)    36-41
RH % (24h trend)      44-49 (-19)  87-92 (+4)   25-30
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     N  8 G21                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  9 G22     N  6 G17     LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2800                      3000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1600                      1900
Transport wnd (mph)   N 18                      NW  6
Dispersion            26 Fair                   9 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     N 11 G21                  N  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N 12 G22     N  7 G17     W  6

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows 16 to 21. East winds less than
10 mph in the evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s to lower 30s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely or slight chance of snow showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the 50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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