Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 021432
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
932 AM EST MON MAR 2 2015

.DISCUSSION...
THE WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST
TODAY BEFORE STALLING...THEN IT WILL MOVE BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-031545-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
932 AM EST MON MAR 2 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-8)   30-35 (-3)   48-53
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-1)   89-94 (-6)   65-70
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     SE  7 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G15
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           80
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            4
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.26
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      S 18
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   11 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     SE  9 G19
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G19

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW AND RAIN. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 26.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. HIGHS IN
THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-031545-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
932 AM EST MON MAR 2 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-8)   29-34 (-7)   45-50
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+2)   91-96 (-2)   61-66
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G16                 SE 10 G22
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 10 G20
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           70
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.22
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      S 26
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    2 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G21                 SE 13 G27
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5 G16    LGT/VAR      S 13 G25

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SNOW LIKELY. MUCH COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-031545-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
932 AM EST MON MAR 2 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-4)   36-41 (-1)   48-53
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+3)   89-94 (-4)   66-71
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     S 11 G26
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 12 G24
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           80
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            4
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.08         0.21
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      S 32
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     S 14 G33
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 15 G31

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SNOW LIKELY. MUCH COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO
MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-031545-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
932 AM EST MON MAR 2 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+1)   39-44 (+1)   50-55
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-1)   92-97 (-3)   67-72
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      SE 10 G21
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 10 G19
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           80
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            5
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.08         0.22
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      S 24
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      SE 12 G26
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 13 G24

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-031545-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
932 AM EST MON MAR 2 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+1)   41-46 (+1)   49-54
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-2)   95-100 (-1)  69-74
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8 G15
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           80
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            5
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.09         0.18
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      2700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      SE 17
DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR
MAX LVORI             8                         7
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      SE  9 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 10 G19

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. MUCH COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-031545-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
932 AM EST MON MAR 2 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-9)   32-37 (-4)   50-55
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+3)   85-90 (-7)   65-70
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           70
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.26
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      2000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  5                     S 14
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    5 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     SE  8 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. HIGHS IN
THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-031545-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
932 AM EST MON MAR 2 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-3)   35-40 (0)    51-56
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-9)   93-98 (-2)   70-75
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           80
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            4
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.24
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      1900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  8                     S 17
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   9 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      S  5 G17
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      S  9 G18

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 29.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. HIGHS IN
THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-031545-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
932 AM EST MON MAR 2 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-4)   38-43 (+1)   53-58
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+4)   95-100 (+3)  69-74
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      S  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      S  8
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           80
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.07         0.21
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      1900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 10                     S 17
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   11 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  8 G15                  S  7 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      S  9 G18

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. HIGHS IN
THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$



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