Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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000
FNUS55 KPSR 181020
FWFPSR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
320 AM MST WED JAN 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE TODAY WILL GIVE WAY TO INCREASING MOISTURE AHEAD OF A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THURSDAY. LIGHT RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...HOWEVER THE GREATER POTENTIAL FOR WETTING RAINS
WILL BE LATER THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE HIGHEST RAIN TOTALS
ARE EXPECTED GENERALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN NORTH AND EAST OF
PHOENIX. WITH THE MOIST CONDITIONS PERSISTING...FIRE DANGER REMAINS
LOW ACROSS THE REGION.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS...

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-182230-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
320 AM MST WED JAN 18 2017

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................60-65.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................33-46 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......5200 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTH 3 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........MARGINAL.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY AFTER MIDNIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................45-55.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................73-86 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING 25 TO 35 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING 20 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
  . SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................54-61.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................49-63 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................16 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 35 TO 45 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................50 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 2 IN
  THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......6000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTH 11 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 42-52. HIGHS
52-60. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
39-49. HIGHS 54-61. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
39-49. HIGHS 54-62. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
41-51. HIGHS 56-63.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
38-48. HIGHS 55-61.

$$

AZZ133-182230-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
320 AM MST WED JAN 18 2017

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................49-61.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................46-60 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................35-46.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................78-97 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................45-57.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................49-63 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................40 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 33-46. HIGHS
39-52. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH.
.SATURDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 25-43. HIGHS
38-52. WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
25-43. HIGHS 43-55. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 28-43. HIGHS
44-56.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 24-40. HIGHS 42-55.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-182230-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
320 AM MST WED JAN 18 2017 /220 AM PST WED JAN 18 2017/

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................62-66.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................26-31 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........4300 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 3 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............MARGINAL.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................47-51.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................78-90 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................22 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING 30 TO 40 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING 40 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
  IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................59-63.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................49-57 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................26 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 35 TO 45 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................60 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 2 IN
  THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........5500 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTHWEST 13 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............VERY GOOD.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 44-50. HIGHS
57-62. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
41-50. HIGHS 59-63. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
41-49. HIGHS 59-63. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
43-49. HIGHS 59-64.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
40-47. HIGHS 59-63.

$$

CAZ230-182230-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
220 AM PST WED JAN 18 2017

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
  PARTLY SUNNY IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................52-62.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................29-36 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................10 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
  IN THE EVENING...BECOMING SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................39-45.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................73-85 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................30 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 20 TO 30 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING 30 TO 40 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................60 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................46-57.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................56-73 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................30 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 40 TO 50 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................70 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................70 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
34-43. HIGHS 43-54. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH.
.SATURDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLEAR WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
34-43. HIGHS 44-56. WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 34-41. HIGHS
46-56. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 33-41. HIGHS
45-56.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
31-40. HIGHS 46-56.

$$

CAZ232-182230-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
220 AM PST WED JAN 18 2017

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................59-66.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................27-39 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................9 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY AFTER MIDNIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...BECOMING CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER
  MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................45-50.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................77-94 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................23 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 20 TO 30 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING 30 TO 40 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................50 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
  IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................56-63.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................54-62 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................26 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 40 TO 50 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................60 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 43-50. HIGHS
54-61. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 41-50.
HIGHS 55-63. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
41-48. HIGHS 55-62. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
41-48. HIGHS 55-62.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
39-46. HIGHS 55-63.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...WEDNESDAY JANUARY 25TH THROUGH FRIDAY JANUARY
27TH...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW MEDIAN PRECIPITATION.



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