Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FNUS74 KAMA 081639
FWSAMA

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROSITA RX...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1039 AM CST MON FEB 8 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1045 CST ON FEBRUARY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MIXING DEPTH IS QUICKLY INCREASING AS TEMPERATURES WARM LATE THIS
MORNING. NO FRONTS OR BOUNDARIES ARE ANTICIPATED SO WIND SHIFTS ARE
NOT EXPECTED TODAY ALTHOUGH WINDS MAY VEER SLIGHTLY AND GRADUALLY WITH
TIME FROM THE NORTHWEST TO NORTH-NORTHWEST. SUSTAIN WINDS AT
THE SPOT FORECAST LOCATION COULD APPROACH 20 MPH MID-LATE AFTERNOON WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE EARLY THIS EVENING. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE AROUND 20 PERCENT DURING THE WARMEST PART OF
THE AFTERNOON. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE SOME TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
BUT LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE AGAIN EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........43 AT IGNITION...MAX 56.
RH..................40 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 11 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 16
                    MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 500-1500 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 4500-6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH 21 TO
                    26 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............37     48     55     56
RH..............40     26     20     19
20 FT WIND......NW 10  NW 15  NW 15  NW 14
20 FT WIND GUST.       25     25     20
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67.
RH..................MIN 19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    3500-5000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 12
                    TO 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............29     29     44     57     65     67
RH..............78     81     45     29     21     19
20 FT WIND......W 8    W 8    W 9    NW 13  NW 13  N 12
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     20     20     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...BOWERS
REQUESTED BY...TODD WOOD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160208.ROSIT.01/AMA


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