Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FNUS74 KAMA 280203
FWSAMA

Spot Forecast FOR SOUTHEAST HEMPHILL COUNTY WILDFIRE...WFO AMARILLO TX
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Amarillo TX
903 PM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 2200 CDT on March 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Clouds will be on the increase at the fire site tonight through
Tuesday morning. Scattered showers and thunderstorms should begin
to affect the fire site between 0900 and 1100 hours CDT. Southeast
winds will remain between 10 to 15 mph tonight and then increasing
to 15 to 20 mph by 1200 hours CDT Tuesday. No major wind shifts
are expected, however thunderstorms will cause strong and erratic
winds. Rainfall amounts of between a half to an inch are possible
at the fire site by late Tuesday.

.TONIGHT...

Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (0-48000 knot-ft).
Min temperature.....Around 51.
LAL.................1.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......2500-4000 ft AGL decreasing to 0-1500 ft AGL in
                    the late evening and overnight.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 OR low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Chance of Pcpn......0 percent.

Time (CDT)      10 PM  Midngt 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather Cov.....
Weather Type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Temp............59     55     52     51
RH..............62     74     83     86
20 Ft Wind......SE 10  SE 12  SE 13  SE 12
20 Ft Wind Gust.15     15     20     15
Chc of Pcpn (%).0      0      0      0
Haines Index....2      2      4      4
VentR KtFt/1000.0      0      4      4

.TUESDAY...

Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (5000-19000 knot-ft).
Max temperature.....Around 62.
LAL.................1 until 0700, then 5.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely early in the morning. Rain
                    showers and thunderstorms in the late morning
                    and early afternoon, then showers and
                    thunderstorms likely late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 16 to 22 mph decreasing to 6 to 12 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 18 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........4 OR low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Chance of Pcpn......70 percent.

Time (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  Noon   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
Weather Cov.....       LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY
Weather Type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Temp............51     51     53     57     61     62
RH..............93     100    86     77     72     70
20 Ft Wind......SE 10  SE 12  SE 14  SE 16  SE 17  SE 18
20 Ft Wind Gust.15     15     20     25     25     25
Chc of Pcpn (%).0      60     80     80     80     70
Haines Index....4      3      3      3      3      3
VentR KtFt/1000.7      9      17     19     14     6

$$
Forecaster...Schneider
Requested by...KEN SCHNEIDER
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1705322.0/AMA



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