Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 201147
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Buffalo Creek Piles...USFS
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
447 AM MST Sat Jan 20 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 MST on January 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Southerly flow ahead of a Pacific storm system will
bring mild temperatures with relative humidities falling into the
20s. Southwest winds gusting to 25 mph will also be possible this
afternoon. As the Pacific storm nears the region, snow is
expected to develop after midnight and continue through most of
Sunday.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny until 1300, then partly
                    cloudy(40-50%).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........23%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6-10 mph. Gusts to 25 mph
                    this afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000-3000 ft AGL until 1100, then 4900-5900 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15-20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then fair until 1100, then
                    good until 1300, then very good until 1500,
                    then good until 1600, then fair.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Slight chance of snow until 2300, then
                    snow and chance of light freezing drizzle.
CWR.................5 percent increasing to 80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 19.
Max humidity........100%.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5-6 mph.
Mixing height.......1400-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Snow.
CWR.................95 percent decreasing to 75 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 25.
Min humidity........62%.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6-12 mph.
Mixing height.......4400-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 20-30 mph until 1100, then 30-40 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0600, then fair until 0800, then
                    good until 1000, then very good until 1100,
                    then excellent until 1600, then very good.


Fire Weather Table for Buffalo Creek Piles.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

01/20-05 18  1  0 38 38 SSW  8 12 2 1         1461  SW 17 22629 P
01/20-06 18  1  0 37 42 SSW  8 12 2 1         1454  SW 17 21838 P
01/20-07 18  1  0 35 45 SSW  7 12 2 1         1448  SW 17 21052 P
01/20-08 19  0  0 37 42 SSW  8 12 2 1         1441  SW 16 20273 P
01/20-09 19  0  0 40 39 SSW  7  7 2 1         2449  SW 17 37915 P
01/20-10 19  0  0 45 33  SW  6  7 2 1         3458  SW 20 58407  F
01/20-11 19  0  0 49 29  SW  6  7 2 1         4466  SW 21 81749   G
01/20-12 26  0  0 52 25  SW  7  8 2 1         5364  SW 21 98265   G
01/20-13 34  0  0 54 23 WSW  8 13 2 1         6263  SW 21114801    V
01/20-14 41  0  0 53 24  SW  8 14 3 1         7162  SW 21131358    V
01/20-15 48  0  0 50 27  SW  8 13 3 1         5686 SSW 16 82316   G
01/20-16 56  0  0 44 35 SSE  6  7 3 1         4210  SE 13 44680  F
01/20-17 63  3  1 39 42   E  5  6 3 1         2734 ESE  8 18451 P
01/20-18 64  6  2 35 49 ENE  5  6 3 1         2257   E  7 13196 P
01/20-19 66  9  3 31 63 ENE  5  6 3 1         1780 ENE  6  8801 P
01/20-20 67 19  4 28 71  NE  5  6 3 1         1304  NE  5  5268 P
01/20-21 76 21  4 27 74  NE  3  6 3 1         1313  NE  5  4948 P
01/20-22 84 23  5 27 78  NE  3  7 3 1         1322  NE  3  4623 P
01/20-23 93 38 16 27 81  NE  3  7 3 1         1331 NNE  3  4294 P
01/21-00 95 53 28 26 81  NE  3  7 3 1         1391 NNE  5  5141 P
01/21-01 98 68 50 24 88 NNE  5  7 2 1         1451 NNE  5  6044 P
01/21-02100 74 59 23 96  NE  5  7 2 1         1511 NNE  6  7004 P
01/21-03100 80 68 22100  NE  7  8 2 1         1827 NNE  8 13186 P
01/21-04100 86 78 22 96 NNE  7  8 2 1         2142 NNE 10 20217 P
01/21-05 96 97 95 22 92   N  6  6 2 1         2458   N 14 28649 P
01/21-06 97 97 95 21 92   N  7  7 2 1         2702   N 17 40617  F
01/21-07 98 97 95 22 88   N  8  8 2 1         2947   N 21 54237  F
01/21-08 99 97 95 19 96   N  9 10 2 1         3192   N 25 69507   G
01/21-09 98 97 95 18 96   N  9 10 2 1         3682   N 30 96757   G
01/21-10 97 97 95 18 96   N 10 13 2 1         4173   N 36128419    V
01/21-11 96 83 73 18 92   N 12 15 2 1         4663   N 40164496     E
01/21-12 95 83 73 19 84   N 12 15 2 1         5016   N 40175631     E
01/21-13 94 83 73 23 71   N 12 15 2 1         5370   N 40186580     E
01/21-14 93 83 73 25 62   N 10 17 2 1         5723   N 39197341     E
01/21-15 92 83 73 25 62   N 10 14 2 1         5204   N 36161807     E
01/21-16 90 83 73 23 68   N  9 10 2 1         4684   N 32129791    V
01/21-17 89 34 13 22 71   N  8  8 2 1         4165   N 28101293    V
01/21-18 86 34 13 21 71   N  8  8 2 1         3668   N 26 86077   G
01/21-19 81 34 13 20 71   N  8  8 2 1         3171 NNW 26 71710   G
01/21-20 78 34 13 19 70   N  8  8 2 1         2675 NNW 25 58191  F
01/21-21 71 34 13 15 77 NNW  8  8 2 1         2473 NNW 24 52845  F
01/21-22 58 34 13 12 80 NNW  9 10 2 1         2272  NW 24 47657  F
01/21-23 51  5  1  9 83  NW  9 10 2 1         2071  NW 24 42626  F
01/22-00 41  5  1  8 83 WNW  9 10 2 1         1987  NW 23 39633 P
01/22-01 21  5  1  8 79 WNW  8  8 2 1         1904 WNW 22 36747 P
01/22-02 11  5  1  9 72 WNW  8  8 3 1         1821 WNW 22 33969 P
01/22-03 13  5  1  9 69 WNW  8  8 3 1         1689 WNW 21 31166 P
01/22-04 18  5  1  9 66   W  9 10 3 1         1556 WNW 21 28415 P
01/22-05 20  1  0  9 66   W  9 10 4 1         1424   W 21 25717 P
01/22-06 20  1  0  9 66   W  9 10 4 1         1419   W 21 25539 P
01/22-07 20  1  0 11 57   W  9 10 4 1         1413 WNW 21 25362 P
01/22-08 20  1  0 14 53   W  9 10 5 1         1408 WNW 21 25185 P
01/22-09 21  1  0 20 45 WNW  9 10 4 1         2168 WNW 21 39622 P
01/22-10 22  1  0 26 38 WNW  9 10 3 1         2928 WNW 22 54653  F
01/22-11 23  2  0 32 33 WNW  9 10 3 1         3688 WNW 22 70276   G
01/22-12 24  2  0 37 29 WNW  9 10 3 1         5082 WNW 22 94451   G
01/22-13 27  2  0 40 27 WNW  9 10 3 1         6475  NW 21117322    V
01/22-14 28  2  0 40 27  NW  9 10 3 1         7869  NW 21138888    V
01/22-15 32  2  0 38 28 WNW  3  6 3 1         6268  NW 16 89949   G
01/22-16 39  2  0 33 33   W  2  5 3 1         4667 WNW 13 51575  F
01/22-17 43  1  0 29 37   CALM  3 3 1         3066   W  9 23766 P
01/22-18 41  1  0 26 42   W  2  3 2 1         2783   W  9 22421 P
01/22-19 38  1  0 23 47   W  3  3 2 1         2499   W  9 20901 P
01/22-20 36  1  0 21 52   W  3  5 2 1         2215   W 10 19207 P
01/22-21 37  1  0 18 59   W  5  5 2 1         2221   W 10 19145 P
01/22-22 38  1  0 17 58   W  5  6 2 1         2228   W 10 19082 P
01/22-23 39  1  0 16 61   W  6  6 2 1         2235 WNW 10 19018 P
01/23-00 37  1  0 16 61   W  6  6 2 1         2164   W  8 15560 P
01/23-01 32  1  0 16 58   W  6  6 2 1         2093   W  7 12289 P
01/23-02 30  1  0 16 58   W  6  6 2 1         2022   W  6  9206 P
01/23-03 30  1  0 14 64   W  6  6 2 1         2025   W  5  8111 P
01/23-04 29  1  0 13 67   W  6  6 2 1         2029 WSW  3  7011 P
01/23-05 28  1  0 12 73   W  6  6 2 1         2033 WSW  3  5907 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...MEIER
REQUESTED BY...Craig Brown
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1800636.0/BOU


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