Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 241431
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for ELKHORN CREEK...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
829 AM MDT Sun Sep 24 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MDT on September 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Strong low pressure over Utah will lift northeast into
Wyoming later today and tonight. This will result in continue
cloudy, cool and showers today. Showers will be most likely from
late morning through the evening hours.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Scattered rain showers until 1100, then
                    numerous rain showers until 1500, then rain
                    showers.
CWR.................5 percent increasing to 60 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 46.
Min humidity........80%.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 4-7 mph.
Mixing height.......2000-2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........2 very low.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Numerous rain showers. scattered snow
                    showers after 2400.
CWR.................40 percent decreasing to 5 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........94%.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 4-5 mph until 2100. variable up to 5
                    mph after 0300.
Mixing height.......1500-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast up to 10 mph until 2400, then light.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........2 very low.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers
                    until 1100. slight chance of rain showers after
                    0700 until 1200, then chance of rain showers.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 46.
Min humidity........65%.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable up to 5 mph until 0900, then southeast
                    5-6 mph.
Mixing height.......2100-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Light winds.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........2 very low.


Fire Weather Table for ELKHORN CREEK.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

09/24-09 94 27  7 37 96   E  6  6 2 1         2021   E  8 14436 P
09/24-10 94 27  7 38 93   E  7  7 2 1         2277   E 10 20539 P
09/24-11 92 34 13 40 87   E  8 13 2 1         2533 ESE 13 27604 P
09/24-12 91 44 21 42 82   E  8 13 2 1         2790 ESE 15 35630 P
09/24-13 91 54 29 43 83   E  8 13 2 1         2786 ESE 14 34467 P
09/24-14 90 64 44 44 83 ESE  7  7 2 1         2782  SE 14 33308 P
09/24-15 94 75 60 44 86 ESE  7  7 2 1         2778  SE 14 32152 P
09/24-16 95 75 60 43 89   E  7  7 2 1         2578  SE 13 27979 P
09/24-17 95 75 60 41 93   E  6  6 2 1         2378  SE 12 24094 P
09/24-18 96 62 41 40 92   E  6  6 2 1         2179  SE 10 20498 P
09/24-19 96 62 41 38 92   E  5  5 2 1         2004  SE  8 14070 P
09/24-20 96 62 41 37 89 ENE  3  3 2 1         1829  SE  6  8478 P
09/24-21 96 62 41 36 89  NE  3  3 2 1         1654  SE  2  3721 P
09/24-22 96 62 41 36 85 NNE  3  3 2 1         1685   E  3  4616 P
09/24-23 96 62 41 36 85   N  2  2 2 1         1717 NNE  3  5543 P
09/25-00 89 56 32 36 85   N  3  3 2 1         1749 NNW  5  6501 P
09/25-01 89 46 23 36 85 NNE  2  2 2 1         1728 NNW  3  5690 P
09/25-02 89 35 13 36 82   CALM  1 2 1         1707 WNW  3  4896 P
09/25-03 86 30  9 35 85   CALM  1 2 1         1685 WNW  2  4121 P
09/25-04 86 27  7 34 85   CALM  1 2 1         1617  NW  2  3749 P
09/25-05 86 23  5 32 89   CALM  1 2 1         1549   N  2  3394 P
09/25-06 70 21  4 32 89  SE  3  3 2 1         1480 NNE  2  3056 P
09/25-07 70 21  4 33 88  SE  2  2 2 1         1588   N  2  3245 P
09/25-08 70 21  4 34 88  SE  2  2 2 1         1696  NW  2  3429 P
09/25-09 70 21  4 37 82 ESE  2  2 2 1         1804 WNW  2  3723 P
09/25-10 70 21  4 39 81 ESE  3  3 2 1         2273 WSW  2  4856 P
09/25-11 70 21  4 42 76 ESE  5  5 2 1         2742 SSE  2  6059 P
09/25-12 72 32 11 44 73 ESE  6  6 2 1         3211 ESE  2  7330 P
09/25-13 72 32 11 45 71 ESE  6  6 2 1         3154 ESE  3  8558 P
09/25-14 72 32 11 46 67 ESE  6  6 2 1         3098  SE  3  9737 P
09/25-15 72 32 11 46 65 ESE  6  6 2 1         3041  SE  5 10868 P
09/25-16 72 32 11 45 66 ESE  6  6 2 1         2668  SE  5 10191 P
09/25-17 72 32 11 44 67 ESE  6  6 2 1         2294 SSE  5  9329 P
09/25-18 80 24  5 42 70 ESE  6  6 2 1         1921 SSE  5  8284 P
09/25-19 80 24  5 39 79  SE  5  5 2 1         1800 SSE  5  7335 P
09/25-20 81 24  5 36 89  SE  5  5 2 1         1679 SSE  5  6443 P
09/25-21 81 24  5 34 96  SE  3  3 2 1         1559 SSE  5  5609 P
09/25-22 77 24  5 32100 SSE  3  3 2 1         1483   S  3  5181 P
09/25-23 72 24  5 32 99   S  5  5 2 1         1407 SSW  3  4768 P
09/26-00 68  8  2 32 96 SSW  5  5 2 1         1331 SSW  3  4371 P
09/26-01 66  8  2 33 89 SSW  3  3 2 1         1269  SW  5  4557 P
09/26-02 63  8  2 33 85  SW  2  2 2 1         1208   W  5  4705 P
09/26-03 61  8  2 33 82  SW  2  2 2 1         1147   W  5  4816 P
09/26-04 52  8  2 32 82  SW  3  3 2 1         1125   W  6  5719 P
09/26-05 43  8  2 30 86 WSW  5  5 2 1         1103   W  7  6583 P
09/26-06 34  3  1 30 85 WSW  6  6 2 1         1082 WNW  8  7409 P
09/26-07 30  3  1 31 82   W  5  5 2 1         1364 WNW  7  8698 P
09/26-08 23  3  1 34 75   W  3  3 2 1         1645  NW  7  9722 P
09/26-09 19  3  1 38 67   W  2  2 2 1         1927  NW  6 10481 P
09/26-10 19  3  1 42 60  SW  2  2 2 1         3026  NW  7 16702 P
09/26-11 21  3  1 46 54  SE  3  3 2 1         4124  NW  7 23103 P
09/26-12 20  7  1 50 48   E  5  5 2 1         5223  NW  7 29684 P
09/26-13 26  7  1 53 44   E  6  6 2 1         5476  NW  7 31899 P
09/26-14 38  7  1 54 42   E  6  6 2 1         5730 WNW  7 34186 P
09/26-15 44  7  1 54 43 ESE  7  7 2 1         5984 WNW  7 36545 P
09/26-16 41  7  1 53 46 ESE  7  7 2 1         5095 WSW  6 27362 P
09/26-17 34  7  1 50 54 ESE  7  7 2 1         4206   S  6 19490 P
09/26-18 36  7  1 47 63 ESE  7  7 2 1         3316  SE  5 12927 P
09/26-19 37  7  1 44 71 ESE  6  6 2 1         2676  SE  5 11731 P
09/26-20 38  7  1 41 80  SE  5  5 2 1         2036  SE  6  9913 P
09/26-21 38  7  1 38 89  SE  3  3 2 1         1396 SSE  6  7473 P
09/26-22 38  7  1 36 94  SE  3  3 2 1         1318 SSE  7  7439 P
09/26-23 38  7  1 35 95  SE  3  3 2 1         1239 SSE  7  7360 P
09/27-00 38  4  1 35 92  SE  3  3 2 1         1161 SSE  7  7234 P
09/27-01 36  4  1 35 92 SSE  3  3 2 1         1153   S  7  6401 P
09/27-02 31  4  1 36 89 SSW  3  3 2 1         1145   S  6  5578 P
09/27-03 28  4  1 36 89  SW  3  3 3 1         1137 SSW  5  4767 P
09/27-04 32  4  1 36 85  SW  3  3 3 1         1134  SW  5  4295 P
09/27-05 39  4  1 36 81 WSW  3  3 2 1         1131 WSW  3  3825 P
09/27-06 43  5  1 36 79 WSW  3  3 2 1         1128   W 3

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...ENTREKIN
REQUESTED BY...Titus
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1716182.0/BOU



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