Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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907
FNUS75 KBOU 140435
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Soapstone Prairie...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
935 PM MST Mon Nov 13 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2200 MST on November 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...It will remain dry with windy conditions on Tuesday.
Winds will be west at 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph by 1200.
Minimum humidity levels will be down to 25% in the afternoon.  Smoke
dispersal will become good by 1100.


.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy(40-50%).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........25%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10-16 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0900, then 2200-3200 ft
                    AGL until 1100, then 5400-6400 ft AGL until
                    1400, then 6600-7600 ft AGL until 1600, then
                    4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15-25 mph until 1100, then 25-35 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then good until 1100, then
                    very good until 1300, then excellent until
                    1600, then very good.
Haines Index........3 very low.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 27.
Max humidity........78%.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7-13 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    until early morning.
Mixing height.......1200-2200 ft AGL until 2200, then Below 1000 FT
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20-30 mph until 2300, then 10-20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 1800. poor after 0400.
Haines Index........3 very low.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny until 1200, then partly
                    cloudy(35-45%).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 47.
Min humidity........38%.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5-11 mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0800, then 1100-2100 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........4 low.


Fire Weather Table for Soapstone Prairie.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

11/13-22 31  0  0 37 56   W  6  6 5 1          914 WSW 14 11036 P
11/13-23 34  0  0 37 54   W  8 13 5 1          813 WSW 15 10557 P
11/14-00 34  0  0 35 57   W  8 14 5 1          775   W 17 11236 P
11/14-01 34  0  0 34 57 WNW  8 13 4 1          737   W 18 11800 P
11/14-02 33  0  0 34 56 WNW  8 13 4 1          699   W 21 12249 P
11/14-03 33  0  0 33 58 WNW  9 14 4 1          675   W 20 11775 P
11/14-04 33  0  0 34 56 WNW  9 16 3 1          651   W 20 11305 P
11/14-05 33  0  0 34 56 WNW 10 16 3 1          628   W 20 10839 P
11/14-06 33  0  0 33 59 WNW 10 16 3 1          612   W 18  9961 P
11/14-07 33  0  0 33 60 WNW  9 15 3 1          596   W 17  9113 P
11/14-08 34  0  0 36 54 WNW  9 15 3 1          581   W 16  8297 P
11/14-09 35  0  0 42 44   W  9 15 3 1         2014   W 20 34341 P
11/14-10 40  0  0 49 34   W  9 15 3 1         3447   W 23 68312   G
11/14-11 42  0  0 55 27   W 10 16 3 1         4880   W 26110213    V
11/14-12 46  0  0 58 25   W 13 21 3 1         5913   W 29147839    V
11/14-13 50  0  0 58 25   W 17 28 2 1         6945   W 31190462     E
11/14-14 55  0  0 56 26   W 21 33 2 1         7977   W 35238083     E
11/14-15 50  0  0 52 32   W 20 31 2 1         6161   W 33176703     E
11/14-16 45  0  0 48 37 WNW 17 28 2 1         4345 WNW 31118890    V
11/14-17 41  0  0 45 41 WNW 15 25 2 1         2530 WNW 30 65872   G
11/14-18 27  0  0 43 45 WNW 15 24 2 1         2041 WNW 28 49892  F
11/14-19 14  0  0 41 46 WNW 15 24 2 1         1553 WNW 26 35474 P
11/14-20  7  0  0 40 48 WNW 15 23 2 1         1065 WNW 24 22616 P
11/14-21  8  0  0 38 52  NW 15 22 2 1         1000  NW 22 19493 P
11/14-22  9  0  0 35 59  NW 14 21 2 1          935  NW 21 16595 P
11/14-23 10  0  0 33 63  NW 13 18 2 1          870 NNW 18 13924 P
11/15-00 10  0  0 31 69 NNW 12 16 2 1          788 NNW 17 11997 P
11/15-01 10  0  0 30 72 NNW 10 13 2 1          706 NNW 16 10198 P
11/15-02 10  0  0 29 75 NNW  9 12 2 1          624 NNW 16  8526 P
11/15-03 14  0  0 29 75  NW  9 10 3 1          622  NW 14  7290 P
11/15-04 21  0  0 28 75 WSW  8  8 3 1          620   W 12  6063 P
11/15-05 24  1  0 28 75  SW  8  8 3 1          618  SW  9  4842 P
11/15-06 23  1  0 27 78  SW  7  7 3 1          768  SW 10  7016 P
11/15-07 22  1  0 27 78 SSW  7  7 4 1          918 SSW 12  9579 P
11/15-08 21  1  0 28 75 SSW  7  7 4 1         1068 SSW 14 12533 P
11/15-09 23  1  0 32 66   S  8  9 4 1         1304 SSW 14 15708 P
11/15-10 26  1  0 36 56   S 10 13 4 1         1540 SSW 14 19030 P
11/15-11 28  1  0 41 48   S 12 15 4 1         1776 SSW 15 22498 P
11/15-12 32  1  0 45 41   S 12 15 4 1         1879 SSW 14 22670 P
11/15-13 39  1  0 47 38   S 10 13 4 1         1982 SSW 13 22718 P
11/15-14 42  1  0 47 38   S  9 12 4 1         2086 SSW 13 22642 P
11/15-15 44  1  0 45 41   S  8  9 4 1         1676 SSW 12 16469 P
11/15-16 48  1  0 41 50   S  7  7 3 1         1266 SSW 10 11139 P
11/15-17 50  1  0 38 57 SSW  6  6 3 1          856 SSW  9  6652 P
11/15-18 49  1  0 36 61 SSW  6  6 3 1          762 SSW  9  6022 P
11/15-19 48  1  0 34 64 SSW  5  6 4 1          668 SSW  9  5367 P
11/15-20 47  1  0 34 61  SW  5  6 4 1          574  SW  9  4687 P
11/15-21 44  1  0 33 63  SW  5  6 4 1          579  SW 10  5157 P
11/15-22 39  1  0 33 61  SW  6  7 4 1          585  SW 12  5635 P
11/15-23 36  1  0 32 63 WSW  6  7 4 1          591  SW 12  6122 P
11/16-00 36  1  0 32 63 WSW  6  7 4 1          590 WSW 14  6941 P
11/16-01 35  1  0 32 61 WSW  6  8 4 1          589 WSW 15  7758 P
11/16-02 34  1  0 32 61 WSW  6  8 4 1          589 WSW 17  8573 P
11/16-03 33  1  0 33 58 WSW  7  8 4 1          610 WSW 17  8853 P
11/16-04 30  1  0 33 61   W  7  8 3 1          632 WSW 16  9129 P
11/16-05 28  1  0 33 61   W  8  8 3 1          654 WSW 16  9404 P
11/16-06 26  1  0 34 58   W  8  8 3 1          603 WSW 16  8491 P
11/16-07 23  1  0 35 56 WSW  8  9 2 1          553 WSW 16  7609 P
11/16-08 21  1  0 39 50 WSW  8 12 2 1          502 WSW 15  6759 P
11/16-09 21  1  0 44 43 WSW 10 16 2 1         1446 WSW 21 25316 P
11/16-10 22  1  0 50 37  SW 13 22 2 1         2391 WSW 25 51514  F
11/16-11 22  3  1 55 32  SW 16 26 2 1         3335 WSW 30 85353   G
11/16-12 23  3  1 58 30 WSW 18 30 2 1         3440 WSW 31 91452   G
11/16-13 26  3  1 58 30 WSW 21 32 2 1         3546 WSW 32 97760   G
11/16-14 27  3  1 56 32 WSW 22 32 2 1         3651 WSW 33104276    V
11/16-15 29  3  1 54 35 WSW 21 30 2 1         2668 WSW 31 71848   G
11/16-16 32  3  1 51 39 WSW 18 28 2 1         1686 WSW 29 42630  F
11/16-17 34 12   48  44 WSW 16 24  2  1          703 WSW 28 16624 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...RPK
REQUESTED BY...Carmella LoCascio
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1718714.1/BOU



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