Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 312034
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK LAKE FALL...ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
134 PM MST SAT JAN 31 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1319 MST ON JANUARY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER TROUGH IS ON TOP OF THE PARK AT 1PM...WITH
SNOW EAST OF THE TROUGH...AND MUCH SNOW LESS OF THE TROUGH.  EXPECT TO
SEE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WITH LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING...THEN A COLD FRONT WILL DROP FROM WYOMING WITH INCREASING
UPSLOPE FLOW OVERNIGHT.  SNOW WILL BECOME LIKELY LATE THIS EVENING BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT...AND PERSIST UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.
MIN HUMIDITY........84%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    NORTHWEST 8-11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2100...THEN SNOW
                    LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 7 ABOVE.
MAX HUMIDITY........100%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT LATE IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT DECREASING TO 35 PERCENT EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING DECREASING TO 15 PERCENT.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 17.
MIN HUMIDITY........56%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 17-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
CWR.................15 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...WINDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW.  LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE MID
20S. WEST WINDS 25-32 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS
AROUND 30. WEST WINDS 20-24 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE
MID 20S. WEST WINDS 11-20 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BLACK LAKE FALL.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

01/31-13 90 62 41 23 94  NW  8 14 2 1 WNW 24  1598 WNW 15 20274 P
01/31-14 89 63 42 23 92  NW  9 15 2 1  NW 25  1530 WNW 16 20687 P
01/31-15 87 63 42 20100  NW 10 17 2 1  NW 28  1462 WNW 17 21099 P
01/31-16 83 52 28 18100  NW 13 20 2 1  NW 30  1394 WNW 18 21512 P
01/31-17 80 40 18 16100 WNW 14 22 2 1  NW 31  1327 WNW 20 21924 P
01/31-18 80 38 16 14100 WNW 15 24 2 1  NW 32  1655 WNW 21 32872 P
01/31-19 81 37 15 12100 WNW 16 26 2 1  NW 33  1983 WNW 23 43820  F
01/31-20 82 35 13 12100 WNW 17 28 2 1  NW 35  2311 WNW 25 54768  F
01/31-21 88 45 22 13 92 WNW 17 26 2 1 WNW 36  2640 WNW 26 65716   G
01/31-22 94 55 30 14 86 WNW 16 25 2 1 WNW 37  2968 WNW 29 76664   G
01/31-23100 65 45 14 84 WNW 15 24 2 1 WNW 38  3296 WNW 31 87612   G
02/01-00 98 66 47 13 85 WNW 15 23 2 1 WNW 39  3411 WNW 32 94451   G
02/01-01 97 66 47 11 90 WNW 15 23 2 1 WNW 40  3527 WNW 32101290    V
02/01-02 95 67 48  9 96 WNW 15 24 2 1  NW 41  3642 WNW 33108129    V
02/01-03 90 57 33  9 93 WNW 16 25 2 1  NW 41  3757 WNW 35114968    V
02/01-04 80 37 15  9 90 WNW 17 28 2 1  NW 43  3872 WNW 36121807    V
02/01-05 75 35 13  9 87 WNW 18 30 2 1  NW 44  3987  NW 37128646    V
02/01-06 75 32 11  8 88 WNW 20 30 2 1  NW 45  3947  NW 37127134    V
02/01-07 75 30  9  7 89 WNW 20 31 2 1  NW 46  3907  NW 37125622    V
02/01-08 71 27  7  7 87 WNW 20 31 2 1  NW 47  3867  NW 37124110    V
02/01-09 71 24  5 10 76 WNW 20 31 2 1  NW 48  3826  NW 37122598    V
02/01-10 71 19  4 13 66 WNW 20 31 2 1  NW 49  3786  NW 37121086    V
02/01-11 64 10  2 16 59 WNW 20 31 2 1  NW 51  3746  NW 37119574    V
02/01-12 64 10  2 17 56 WNW 20 32 2 1  NW 52  3414  NW 36107557    V
02/01-13 64 10  2 17 56   W 21 33 2 1  NW 52  3082 WNW 35 95540   G
02/01-14 76 10  2 16 59   W 21 33 2 1  NW 52  2749 WNW 35 83523   G
02/01-15 76 10  2 15 61   W 20 31 2 1  NW 53  2417 WNW 33 71506   G
02/01-16 76 10  2 14 63   W 18 30 2 1  NW 53  2085 WNW 32 59489  F
02/01-17 73 17  3 14 64   W 18 30 2 1  NW 53  1753 WNW 31 47471  F
02/01-18 73 17  3 13 68   W 20 32 2 1  NW 53  1595 WNW 33 45550  F
02/01-19 73 17  3 13 72 WNW 23 36 3 1  NW 55  1356 WNW 36 41863  F
02/01-20 74 17  3 13 72   W 25 40 3 1  NW 52  1278 WNW 38 41708  F
02/01-21 74 17  3 13 72   W 26 43 3 1  NW 51  1299 WNW 39 44297  F
02/01-22 74 17  3 13 72   W 26 43 3 1  NW 52  1320 WNW 40 46886  F
02/01-23 73 36 14 13 73   W 28 44 3 1 WNW 53  1341 WNW 43 49476  F
02/02-00 73 36 14 13 75   W 30 48 3 1 WNW 54  1275 WNW 46 50312  F
02/02-01 73 36 14 13 77   W 32 52 3 1  NW 55  1209 WNW 49 51149  F
02/02-02 73 36 14 13 79   W 35 55 3 1  NW 59  1143   W 53 51985  F
02/02-03 73 36 14 13 82   W 35 55 3 1 WNW 66  1236   W 54 58218  F
02/02-04 73 36 14 13 85   W 33 54 3 1 WNW 74  1330   W 55 64451   G
02/02-05 79 62 41 13 88   W 33 53 3 1 WNW 78  1424   W 58 70684   G
02/02-06 79 62 41 14 86   W 35 54 3 1 WNW 77  1311   W 55 63406   G
02/02-07 79 62 41 14 87   W 35 56 3 1 WNW 73  1198   W 54 56128  F
02/02-08 79 62 41 16 81   W 36 58 3 1 WNW 67  1085   W 52 48850  F
02/02-09 79 62 41 20 69   W 36 56 3 1 WNW 62  1407   W 54 68013   G
02/02-10 79 62 41 23 62   W 35 55 3 1 WNW 59  1728   W 58 87176   G
02/02-11 88 55 30 26 55   W 33 53 3 1 WNW 55  2049 WNW 60106340    V
02/02-12 88 55 30 27 53   W 33 53 3 1 WNW 55  2053   W 58102396    V
02/02-13 88 55 30 27 54   W 33 53 4 1 WNW 56  2057   W 55 98453   G
02/02-14 88 55 30 26 57   W 32 52 4 1 WNW 58  2061   W 53 94510   G
02/02-15 88 55 30 24 62   W 30 47 4 1 WNW 56  1961   W 51 86550   G
02/02-16 88 55 30 22 68   W 26 41 4 1 WNW 56  1862   W 48 78591   G
02/02-17 77 27  7 21 71   W 23 37 4 1 WNW 56  1763   W 46 70631   G
02/02-18 77 27  7 20 72   W 22 35 4 1 WNW 58  1852   W 46 74833   G
02/02-19 77 27  7 19 74   W 22 35 3 1 WNW 59  1940   W 47 79034   G
02/02-20 77 27  7 19 72   W 22 36 3 1 WNW 59  2029   W 47 83235   G
02/02-21 77 27  7 20 67   W 23 37 3 1 WNW 59  2051   W 48 86576   G
02/02-22 77 27  7 20 65   W 24 39 3 1 WNW 56  2073   W 49 89917   G
02/02-23 75 28  8 21 62   W 25 40 3 1 WNW 54  2094   W 52 93258   G
02/03-00 75 28  8 21 62   W 25 41 3 1 WNW 51  2010   W 49 86458   G
02/03-01 75 28  8 20 66   W 26 41 4 1 WNW 46  1926   W 47 79657   G
02/03-02 75 28  8 20 68   W 26 41 4 1 WNW 44  1842   W 46 72857   G
02/03-03 75 28  8 20 70   W 26 43 4 1 WNW 45  1810   W 46 73054   G
02/03-04 75 28  8 20 72   W 26 43 4 1 WNW 48  1779   W 47 73251   G
02/03-05 77 33 12 20 74   W 26 43 4 1 WNW 53  1748   W 48 73448   G
02/03-06 77 33 12 20 75   W 26 43   1
02/03-07 77 33 12 21 73   W 26 43   1
02/03-08 77 33 12 23 69   W 26 41   1
02/03-09 77 33 12 26 61   W 26 41   1
02/03-10 77 33 12 28 57   W 25 41   1
02/03-11 81 35 13 31 51   W 25 40   1
02/03-12 81 35 13 31 51   W 25 40   1
02/03-13 81 35 13 30 54   W 24 39   1
02/03-14 81 35 13 27 61   W 24 38   1
02/03-15 81 35 13 25 66   W 23 37   1
02/03-16 81 35 13 22 74   W 22 36   1
02/03-17 83 30  9 20 81   W 22 35   1

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...RTG
REQUESTED BY...RICH BROWNE
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150131.BLACK.01/BOU



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