Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Boston, MA

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SPOT FORECAST FOR CUMMINGTON FAIR...MEMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
728 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0720 EDT ON AUGUST 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DAMP START AT THE FAIR FOR TODAY AS SHOWERS CONTINUE TO MOVE
ACROSS WESTERN MASS. THESE SHOWERS WILL BE MORE ON THE HIT OR MISS
SIDE EARLY THIS MORNING AND SHOULD BE CLEARING OUT CLOSE TO NOON.
ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE BY THE EARLY EVENING HOURS
AND MAY LINGERING OVERNIGHT. OTHERWISE TEMPERATURES WILL WARM
INTO THE LOWER 70S WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH
                    EARLY AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
CWR.................80 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (200-10100 KNOT-FT).

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............86  81  82  83  84  85  87  88  87  86  85
WEATHER COV.........LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................63  63  64  64  65  66  68  68  69  69  68
RH..................97  97  90  90  84  78  73  73  70  70  76
20 FT WIND DIR......S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
20 FT WIND SPD......0   2   2   3   2   3   3   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....    5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.1 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   5   5   6   6   7   8   8   8   7   7
LVORI...............9   8   6   5   5   4   3   3   3   3   4
ADI.................3   3   4   4   5   8   11  13  11  10  8
CWR.................60  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
VRATE KT-FT/1000....0   0   1   2   4   6   8   10  8   7   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG AROUND
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 50
                    PERCENT...DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (300-3900 KNOT-FT).

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............84  83  81  84  86  88  90  92  94  94  94  94
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................67  64  62  61  60  59  59  60  60  60  60  59
RH..................78  87  97  97  96  100 96  93  93  93  93  96
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5                           5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   6   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   5   5   5
LVORI...............4   5   8   8   8   10  8   7   7   7   6   8
ADI.................5   4   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
CWR.................30  30  30  40  40  40  40  50  50  50  40  40
VRATE KT-FT/1000....4   3   2   1   1   0   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
FORECASTER...DUNTEN
REQUESTED BY...PAULA CUTTEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140821.CUMMI.01/BOX


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