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Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

000
FNUS73 KEAX 231526
FWSEAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 1B...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1026 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MAY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SEASONABLY COOL AND STABLE AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH
FRIDAY BEFORE THE THREAT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURN LATE
FRIDAY. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY HIGH THROUGH FRIDAY
AND MAINTAIN A VERY LOW FIRE DANGER THREAT.

THE LOW CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN THINNING OUT EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON WITH THE BASE OF THE CLOUDS RISING...EVENTUALLY BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100-5800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 18 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........80     72     55     38
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............60     64     68     67
RH..............69     59     51     51
20 FT WIND......N 9    NE 12  E 10   E 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15
HAINES INDEX....2      3      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 6 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........33     27     20     14     17     20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............66     61     57     52     48     47
RH..............50     59     70     84     92     96
20 FT WIND......E 9    E 8    E 7    E 6    E 6    E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      3

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO
                    18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-4300 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 22
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........23     25     28     30     35     43
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............48     57     64     68     72     72
RH..............90     67     53     47     43     44
20 FT WIND......SE 7   SE 10  SE 14  SE 16  SE 17  SE 18
20 FT WIND GUST.       15     20     25     25     25
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      3

$$
FORECASTER...JULY
REQUESTED BY...SAM VANOURNEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130523.UNIT1.01/EAX