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000
FNUS74 KEPZ 180315
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR MIDDLE FORK...LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
915 PM MDT FRI MAY 17 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2040 MDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY.
WINDS ALOFT WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT...SO WEST TO SW WINDS
TO INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND STAY STEADY THROUGH MORNING.
A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AT THE SURFACE...INCREASING WINDS
ALOFT AND DEEP MIXING WILL RESULT IN STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GENERALLY MAX OUT IN THE 20 TO 25
MPH RANGE AT THE 20-FOOT LEVEL WITH GUSTS 35 TO 40 MPH. LOCATION OF
THE FIRE BEING EAST OF HIGHER TERRAIN WILL ENHANCE THE WIND GUSTS
IN THE AFTER-NOON. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL DROP BELOW 10 PERCENT.
A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 11 KNOTS.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-11 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS 35 TO 40
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1800 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    11400-11800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 17 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........200,600 KNOT-FEET (EXCELLENT)

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 13 TO 22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 KNOTS.



$$
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130517.MIDDL.01/EPZ