Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FNUS74 KEWX 102108
FWSEWX

Spot Forecast for Shadow Oaks Fire...Texas A&M Forest Service
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
408 PM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1700 CDT on August 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Very isolated showers are possible over the wildfire site late this
afternoon, but wetting rains are not expected. Winds should remain
out of the S-SE at 5-10 mph before becoming a bit stronger overnight,
with transport winds approaching 20 mph. Fire weather conditions
tomorrow should be similar to today`s as winds remain southerly at
5-10 mph with relative humidity values staying above 40 percent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms expected.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......5200-7000 ft AGL decreasing to 400-2000 ft AGL
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 22 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........41  40  35  31  27  24  21  18  21  24  27  33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............92  90  87  83  79  77  76  75  74  74  73  72
RH..............43  47  52  61  69  76  79  84  87  87  90  93
20 FT wind dir..S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...7.0 6.7 5.2 2.0 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  14  15  17  18  20  21  22  22  21  20  17
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   2   2

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms expected.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds 6 to 10 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......500-2000 ft AGL increasing to 5100-6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........38  44  43  42  40  37  34  31  28  26  24  20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............71  71  73  75  78  81  84  87  89  90  91  92
RH..............97  97  90  87  79  72  65  57  51  45  42  41
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.            10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.            10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.9 1.6 2.0 2.7 4.3 5.1 5.4 6.1 6.4 6.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.16  15  15  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14
Haines index....2   2   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...00
Requested by...Kasie Wagenfehr
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1714162.0/EWX
.EMAIL kwagenfehr@tfs.tamu.edu


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