Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS72 KILM 232254
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR ILM TEST 1_23...NWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
554 PM EST MON JAN 23 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1800 EST ON JANUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS WILL COME TO AN END BY THIS EVENING AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
SLOWLY LIFTS OFF TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH TONIGHT. WARMER AND DRIER
WEATHER FOR MID WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILD INTO THE AREA. A COLD
FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THURSDAY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE.
MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES AND A DRY WEATHER PATTERN MOVE IN NEXT
WEEKEND.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN
                    BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 15 MPH...DECREASING TO 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIN VENT RATE.......1150 MPH-FT.
MAX LVORI...........6.
MIN ADI.............2.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........58  47  48  52  58  63  66  65  59  51  43  37
WEATHER COV.....SCT ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............57  54  53  53  52  51  50  50  49  48  47  46
RH..............73  81  83  85  86  87  88  88  88  87  87  87
CHC PCPN (%)....30  20  20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  0
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..6   4   4   4   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.10  5   5   5   5       10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1
TRANS WND DIR...W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANS WND SPD...6   15  10  7   5   5   6   7   7   7   7   6
HAINES INDEX....M   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
VR MPH-FT*1000..9   26  13  5   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   1
STABILITY.......D   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   D   E   E   F
LVORI...........3   4   4   5   5   6   6   5   5   5   5   6
ADI.............6   10  7   5   3   3   4   5   7   5   5   2
APARNT TMP (F)..57  54  53  53  52  51  48  47  46  45  44  43
SFC PRES (IN)...923 932 932 932 932 932 932 945 945 945 945 945

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 20
                    TO 26 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 25 TO 31 MPH LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...DECREASING TO 15 TO 21 MPH LATE.
MAX VENT RATE.......139955 MPH-FT.
MAX LVORI...........6.
MAX ADI.............103.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........32     22     14     12     11     8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............46     48     54     59     62     61
RH..............87     78     64     53     48     51
CHC PCPN (%)....0      0      0      0      0      0
20 FT WIND......W 5    NW 6   NW 8   NW 10  NW 9   W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     15     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 1300   3500   4000   4200   3900
TRANSPORT WIND..W 5    W 12   NW 26  NW 31  NW 29  NW 21
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      4
VR MPH-FT*1000..1      19     114    140    130    93
STABILITY.......C      C      C      D      D      C
LVORI...........6      3      1      1      1      1
ADI.............3      24     103    91     84     83
APARNT TMP (F)..43     45     54     59     62     61
SFC PRES (IN)...29.45  29.60  29.60  29.60  29.67  29.67

$$
FORECASTER...WEISS
REQUESTED BY...NWS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700689.0/ILM
.EMAIL JOSHUA.WEISS@NOAA.GOV



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