Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Central Illinois

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1
000
FNUS73 KILX 061639
FWSILX

Spot Forecast for Crowley reforestation RX Burn...Champaign Co Forest Preserve
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1039 AM CST Wed Dec 6 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1400 CST on December 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (217) 732-3089 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...West winds will be gusty this afternoon, with a few
gusts to 30 mph at times. Clouds will gradually increase this
afternoon into early evening as a fast moving weather disturbance
pushes across western and central Illinois. Any light rain or snow
from that system should remain south of the burn site. Vent rates
look very good this afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 38.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4100-4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 26 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very Good (108200 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........16     32
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0
Temp............38     37
RH..............50     52
20 ft wind......W 13   W 12
20 ft wind gust.25     20
Mix hgt (ft)....4200   4400
Transport wind..W 25   W 26
VRate kt-ft/1000 104    109

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 19.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......3100-4200 ft AGL decreasing to 800-2600 ft AGL
                    early in the evening, then increasing to
                    3000-3900 ft AGL after midnight.
Transport winds.....West 18 to 26 mph shifting to the northwest 15
                    to 22 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (61900 knot-ft) decreasing to poor to
                    good (11000-56500 knot-ft) early in the
                    evening, then increasing to excellent (61900
                    knot-ft) after midnight.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........42     48     42     16     24     37
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............31     29     27     24     24     22
RH..............63     66     65     71     68     68
20 ft wind......W 7    W 6    W 6    NW 7   NW 7   NW 7
20 ft wind gust.10     10     10     10     10     15
Mix hgt (ft)....4200   1800   1100   2600   3300   3700
Transport wind..W 26   W 18   W 16   NW 22  NW 22  NW 21
VRate kt-ft/1000 106   28     15     49     62     67

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 27.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds 7 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......2600-4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 16 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good to excellent (38900-72500 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........54     56     55     49     43     37
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............20     19     23     26     27     25
RH..............67     77     65     57     53     55
20 ft wind......NW 7   NW 9   NW 9   NW 9   W 9    W 7
20 ft wind gust.15     15     15     15     15     10
Mix hgt (ft)....4000   3900   3900   3900   3600   3000
Transport wind..NW 21  NW 20  NW 18  NW 17  NW 16  NW 16
VRate kt-ft/100073     67     62     58     50     42

$$
Forecaster...Shimon
Requested by...Brad Nelson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1719680.0/ILX
.EMAIL banelson11@gmail.com



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.