Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO

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000
FNUS73 KLSX 221702
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MARK TWAIN LAKE...U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1202 PM CDT TUE APR 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.  NORTHERLY FLOW
UNDER A SUNNY SKY WILL RESULT.  THE HIGH WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION
BY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND THE WIND WILL SWING AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON THURSDAY BRINGING
MORE WET WEATHER.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........56 AT IGNITION...MAX 70.
RH..................53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 3 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WIND 2 TO 4 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 7 MPH INCREASING TO
                    AROUND 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 7 MPH LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON USING THE WIND FACTOR ADJUSTMENT
                    OF 0.3.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 11 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WIND 8 TO 14 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 23 MPH INCREASING TO
                    AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 23 MPH LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AT IGNITION...4700 FT AGL AT MAX
                    HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (9694 M^2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...GKS
REQUESTED BY...ALLEN MEHRER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140423.MARKT.01/LSX





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