Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 271449
FWSMFL

New Spot Forecast for Lox River East...SFWMD
National Weather Service Miami FL
1049 AM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on July 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible this morning
and into the early afternoon hours, before coverage of showers and
storms shifts west into the interior. Lightning is the primary
threat with any storm that develops. Light and variable winds will
become east/southeast by the late morning around 10 mph as the sea
breeze develops, with higher gusts possible along the sea breeze
front. Dispersion will be fair today. It will feel hot at the burn
site with heat indices reaching 105 degrees during the late
morning and afternoon hours.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    morning. A chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    early,...then a slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................2 until 0800,...then 1 until 1100,...then 3
                    until 1400,...then 2.
Mixing height.......300-1400 ft AGL...increasing to 2400-3700 ft
                    AGL in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 1 to 10 mph...increasing to 12 to 13
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....4...increasing to 31.
LVORI...............5.

Time (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Sky (%).........27  36  36  36  36  36  36  31  31  31  32  32
Weather cov.....SCH             CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW              RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH             CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............79  82  85  87  90  92  92  89  88  87  85  85
RH..............91  88  79  71  64  58  56  61  63  65  69  70
20 ft wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 ft wind dir..070 070 090 120 130 130 120 110 120 130 130 130
20 ft wind spd..0   1   2   4   5   6   6   7   8   8   7   6
20 ft wind gust.        5   10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 1.4 2.6 3.7 3.6 3.4 3.2 3.0 2.7 2.4 1.7
Mixng wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Mixng wind spd..1   1   3   6   8   9   9   9   10  12  13  10
Dispersion idx..1   3   7   19  33  33  31  31  31  32  29  21
LVORI...........7   6   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3
Chc of pcpn (%).20  10  10  10  30  30  30  20  20  20  20  20
LAL.............2   2   2   2   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent)...then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent)...then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    evening. A chance of thunderstorms early in the
                    morning. A slight chance of showers early in
                    the morning.
Min temperature.....Around 78.
Max humidity........94 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph early in the
                    evening...becoming light. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................2 until 2000,...then 1 until 0200,...then 2
                    until 0500,...then 1.
Mixing height.......300-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 1 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....21...decreasing to 7.
LVORI...............5.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers early in the morning,...then a
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms through
                    early afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    through early afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0800,...then 3.
Mixing height.......300-1600 ft AGL...increasing to 2500-4300 ft
                    AGL in the late morning and afternoon,...then
                    decreasing to 1800 ft AGL late in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 1 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....5...increasing to 20,...then increasing to 33
                    early...decreasing to 19 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.

$$
Forecaster...Lee
Requested by...Justin Nolte
Type of request...Prescribed
.TAG 1713479.0/MFL


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