Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 190439
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for West Spodue Rx...US Forest Service
National Weather Service Medford OR
939 PM PDT Wed Oct 18 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 PDT on October 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A strong cold front will bring a period of gusty south winds to the
area Thursday. Clouds will increase and rain will arrive late in the
afternoon/evening (4-6 pm PDT). Rain Thursday evening will taper off
to showers by midnight. Strong south winds will shift to west and
also ease by midnight. Snow levels will come down to around 4000 feet
and may result in a little snow accumulation by Friday morning.
Showery, cool, breezy weather can be expected Friday. Another period
of mainly light rain/snow is expected late Friday night into Saturday
as snow levels rise. Total liquid precipitation Thursday thru the
weekend should be 0.50-1.00 inch. Warmer and drier conditions are
expected Monday through Friday of next week.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cooler and windy; becoming cloudy with rain
                    arriving 4-6pm PDT.
Max temperature.....57.
Min humidity........near 40 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....South 10 mph increasing to 15-25 mph with gusts to
                    40 mph in the afternoon.
WIND (20 FT)........South 15-25 mph increasing to 20-30 mph with gusts
                    of 40-60 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-400 ft AGL increasing to 5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South to southwest 20-40 mph increasing to 30-50 mph.
CWR.................10 percent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Rain in the evening, then rain and snow
                    showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 30.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....South 15-25 mph with gusts to 40 mph in the evening,
                    becoming west-southwest around 10 mph after midnight.
WIND (20 FT)........South 20-30 mph with gusts of 40-60 mph in the
                    evening, becoming west-southwest 10-20 mph after
                    midnight.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL decreasing to 2000 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Transport winds.....South 30-50 mph becoming west-southwest 15-30 mph.
CWR.................100 percent.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow
                    showers in the morning, then rain and snow
                    showers likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 40.
Min humidity........55-65 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....West-southwest 10-20 mph. Gusts to 25 mph.
WIND (20 FT)........West-southwest 15-25 mph with gusts to
                    around 35 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 5500 ft AGL
                    early in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West-southwest 20-30 mph.
CWR.................30 percent.

$$
Forecaster...SPILDE
Requested by...Travis Baker
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717517.0/MFR



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