Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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000
FNUS72 KMHX 011216
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SR-9...CAMP LEJEUNE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
816 AM EDT MON JUN 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JUNE 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND OVER AREA FROM OFFSHORE TODAY. SEA BREEZE
WILL PUSH INLAND THIS AFTERNOON BUT ONLY EFFECT WILL BE SUBTLE WIND
SHIFT FROM SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE
NORTHWEST AND GRADUALLY STALL NEAR THE COAST BY MID WEEK. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS NORTH OF THE AREA LATE IN THE WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............52     57     55     42
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................81     83     84     83
RH..................65     59     57     57
20 FT WIND..........SW 5    S 7    S 8    S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....       10     12     10
LVORI...............3      2      2      1
ADI.................23     28     25     42
HAINES INDEX........3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............35     26     39     56     69     70
WEATHER COV.........                            PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
TSTM COV............
TEMP................82     78     75     73     72     70
RH..................58     67     76     81     87     93
20 FT WIND..........S 6    S 5    S 5    S 5    S 5    S 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....10                                 5
LVORI...............1      3      4      4      6      6
ADI.................44     6      5      5      4      5
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      4      4      4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............72     69     58     57     61     61
WEATHER COV.........                            CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............                            CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP................70     73     79     83     85     84
RH..................93     87     69     59     55     59
20 FT WIND..........S 4    S 4    S 5    S 5    S 6    S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5                    10     15
LVORI...............6      4      3      1      1      1
ADI.................6      17     36     43     46     39
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...MERRELL
REQUESTED BY...LARRY CHURCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150601.SR9__.01/MHX



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