Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32
000
FNUS72 KMHX 231029
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for C 21...USFS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
529 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EST on February 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will extend over the area from offshore through
Friday. A cold front with limited moisture will move through
late Saturday. High pressure will build in Sunday then slide
offshore Monday through Wednesday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......Max 4900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 8 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 39215 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 9.
ADI.................Max 24.
Haines index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.87 to 29.94 inHg.

TIME (EST)         6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)............76  76  77  80  81  80  78  77  75  70  67  63
Weather cov........
Weather type.......
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............54  53  56  60  64  67  69  71  72  72  72  70
RH.................96  100 93  87  78  70  63  59  57  59  59  63
20 FT wind dir.....E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd.....4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   6   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust....5   5   5                       10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)......1.0 1.0 1.7 2.3 3.0 3.6 4.3 4.9 4.3 3.6 3.0 2.3
Transp wind dir....NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd....3   3   3   5   5   6   6   7   8   8   8   7
LVORI..............8   9   6   5   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI................4   4   4   4   5   10  16  21  23  24  24  18
Haines index.......4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
VRate mph-ft/1000..1   1   1   1   1   10  21  34  37  39  39  24
Stability class....F   F   F   D   D   D   C   C   C   C   C   C

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph early in the
                    evening...becoming light...then becoming east
                    around 5 mph after midnight...becoming light.
Mixing height.......Min 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 2 to 6 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 575 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 7.
ADI.................Min 1.
Haines index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.89 to 29.92 inHg.

TIME (EST)         6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)............56  52  53  56  57  57  58  58  59  60  60  57
Weather cov........
Weather type.......
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............68  65  64  63  62  62  61  60  60  59  59  58
RH.................68  75  78  78  81  81  81  84  84  87  87  90
20 FT wind dir.....E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd.....5   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   3   2   2   3
20 FT wind gust....    5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5           5
Mix hgt (kft)......1.7 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir....SE  SE  SE  E   NE  NE  NE  N   NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd....6   5   3   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   2
LVORI..............3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   7
ADI................4   3   2   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   1
Haines index.......3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3
VRate mph-ft/1000..10  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Stability class....C   B   B   B   B   B   F   F   F   F   F   F

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......Max 5200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 2 to 10 mph...increasing to around 12 mph
                    late.
Vent Rate...........Max 58649 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 6.
ADI.................Max 48.
Haines index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.86 to 29.95 inHg.

TIME (EST)         6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%)............52     47     42     44     43     36
Weather cov........
Weather type.......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............58     61     67     71     73     73
RH.................86     84     73     63     59     62
20 ft wind.........E 4    E 5    E 5    E 6    E 7    E 6
20 ft wind gust....5                    15     15     10
Mix hgt (ft).......1000   1700   3100   4500   4500   3200
Transport wind.....NE 2   E 5    E 10   E 10   E 10   E 12
LVORI..............6      5      3      1      1      1
ADI................2      5      28     41     45     48
Haines index.......3      3      4      4      4      4
VRate mph-ft/1000..0      4      24     45     56     59
Stability class....F      F      F      B      B      B

$$
Forecaster...Collins
Requested by...David Nelson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702673.0/MHX
.EMAIL davidnelson@fs.fed.us


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.