Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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868
FNUS74 KMOB 052042
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JP_TEST 3...JP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
342 PM CDT THU MAY 5 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1600  ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HIGH DISPERSION INDICES AROUND 90 EXPECTED FRIDAY AFTERNOON
OVER THE BURN AREA...

.DISCUSSION...MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS IN THE MIXING LAYER WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY BEFORE EASING FROM THE WEST AS LOW LEVEL
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE AREA. DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
WITH AFTERNOON HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 20S ACROSS
THE BURN AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG NOT EXPECTED.

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH-NORTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH AROUND 10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....53 DECREASING TO 8.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING F.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH DECREASING TO
                    AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.

TIME ()      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%)...........9   2   3   4   5   4   2   1   1   0   0   0
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......
TEMP..............73  67  63  60  56  54  53  52  51  50  49  48
RH................31  42  50  58  66  74  77  80  83  86  89  93
20 FT WIND DIR....NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW N
20 FT WIND SPD....8   7   6   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT WIND GUST...16  14  13  12
MIX HGT (KFT).....2.0 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
MIX HGT (KM)......0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR...NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD...15  16  14  12  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
TRANS SPD (M/S)...7   7   6   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
DISPERSION........53  12  8   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4
LVORI.............1   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   6   6
STABILITY CLASS...C   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F   F
CHC OF PCPN (%)...0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.FRIDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1000 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 1800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL
                    INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL INCREASING
                    TO 4700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4200 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 10 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH-NORTHWEST 14 TO 16 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 87.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
STABILITY CLASS.....B.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.

TIME ()      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........1      1      1      3      5      8
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............47     52     63     70     74     76
RH................93     74     50     38     33     31
20 FT WIND DIR....N      N      N      N      N      NNW
20 FT WIND SPD....4      4      5      6      6      6
20 FT WIND GUST...                            13
MIX HGT (FT)......300    1000   2500   3800   4700   5300
MIX HGT (M).......90     300    760    1160   1430   1620
TRANSP WIND DIR...N      N      N      N      N      NNW
TRANSP WIND SPD...10     12     15     14     14     15
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      5      7      6      6      7
DISPERSION........3      15     47     59     68     90
LVORI.............6      3      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      B      B      B      B
CHC OF PCPN (%)...0      0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...22
REQUESTED BY...JP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1600756.0/MOB



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