Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 291210
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR COMP 15...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
710 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0640 CDT ON MARCH 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE SHIFTS EAST OF THE REGION
TODAY WITH WINDS BECOMING SOUTHERLY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
AREA AND STALL ON MONDAY. AS THE FRONT APPROACHES MONDAY RAIN CHANCES
WILL INCREASE WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS TODAY AND
MONDAY. DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD TO GOOD TODAY AND
MONDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY LIGHT FOG POSSIBLE TONIGHT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 700 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 2200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2000 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST-SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    7 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 25 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 37 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 18 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3 DECREASING TO 2 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 1 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    INCREASING TO 2 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%)...........49     49     49     37     37     37
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............39     47     58     65     70     68
RH................69     51     39     34     33     38
20 FT WIND DIR....E      E      ESE    SSE    SSE    S
20 FT WIND SPD....4      4      4      5      5      5
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......700    700    2200   3800   3800   2000
MIX HGT (M).......210    210    670    1160   1160   610
TRANSP WIND DIR...E      E      ESE    S      S      S
TRANSP WIND SPD...9      9      9      8      8      7
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      4      4      4      4      3
DISPERSION........8      8      25     37     37     18
LVORI.............3      3      2      1      1      2
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      B      B      B      B
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....18 DECREASING TO 4.
LVORI...............2 INCREASING TO 8.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........37     25     25     25     43     43
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............66     59     54     52     52     53
RH................45     63     80     88     89     92
20 FT WIND DIR....S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT WIND SPD....5      5      5      5      4      4
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......2000   300    300    300    200    200
MIX HGT (M).......610    90     90     90     60     60
TRANSP WIND DIR...S      S      S      S      S      S
TRANSP WIND SPD...7      6      6      6      6      5
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3      3      3      3      3      2
DISPERSION........18     3      3      3      4      3
LVORI.............2      3      5      5      6      8
STABILITY CLASS...B      F      F      F      F      F
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0      0

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8 TO
                    10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6100 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3100 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH INCREASING TO
                    WEST-SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO WEST AROUND 22 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 37 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 73 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 40 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING C.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........43     70     70     70     55     55
WEATHER COV.......       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............53     60     72     79     82     82
RH................97     81     59     49     44     41
20 FT WIND DIR....S      SSW    WSW    WSW    W      W
20 FT WIND SPD....4      4      7      7      9      7
20 FT WIND GUST...                            16
MIX HGT (FT)......200    300    3200   3200   6100   3100
MIX HGT (M).......60     90     980    980    1860   940
TRANSP WIND DIR...S      SSW    WSW    WSW    W      WNW
TRANSP WIND SPD...5      6      15     15     22     16
TRANS SPD (M/S)...2      3      7      7      10     7
DISPERSION........3      2      37     37     73     40
LVORI.............8      5      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...F      C      C      C      C      C
CWR...............0      30     30     30     30     30

$$
FORECASTER...13
REQUESTED BY...M  OWEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150329.COMP1.01/MOB



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