Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 221225
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR EGLIN WILDLAND FIRE...E.N.R.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
725 AM CDT WED JUL 22 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON JULY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
HEAT INDICES OF 108-112 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED STORMS DEVELOP
EACH AFTERNOON...LINGERING INTO THE EVENING. DISPERSIONS WILL BE GENERALLY
GOOD TODAY...GENERALLY GOOD TO FAIR ON THURSDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG WITH VISIBILITY DOWN TO
3 MILES POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT RECEIVED HEAVY
RAINFALL IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS LATE IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 3100 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 7
                    TO 9 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    SOUTHWEST 12 TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 49.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING C
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%)...........44     44     52     52     52
WEATHER COV.......S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............85     89     92     93     91
RH................76     65     59     58     60
20 FT WIND DIR....W      W      SW     SW     SW
20 FT WIND SPD....4      5      7      7      8
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......200    3100   6000   6000   6000
MIX HGT (M).......60     940    1830   1830   1830
TRANSP WIND DIR...W      W      SW     SW     SW
TRANSP WIND SPD...7      9      12     12     14
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3      4      5      5      6
DISPERSION........3      35     48     48     50
LVORI.............5      3      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      C      C      C
CWR...............20     40     40     40     40

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-SOUTHWEST 10 TO 14 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND
                    6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....50 DECREASING TO 7.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 8.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........52     52     52     52     46     46
WEATHER COV.......CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............90     85     81     79     78     78
RH................64     75     85     89     92     94
20 FT WIND DIR....SW     SW     WSW    WSW    WSW    W
20 FT WIND SPD....8      9      6      6      4      4
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......6000   2000   1200   1200   400    300
MIX HGT (M).......1830   610    370    370    120    90
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW     SW     WSW    WSW    WSW    W
TRANSP WIND SPD...14     14     10     10     6      6
TRANS SPD (M/S)...6      6      4      4      3      3
DISPERSION........50     20     10     10     5      4
LVORI.............1      3      5      5      6      8
STABILITY CLASS...C      D      E      E      F      F
CWR...............40     30     30     30     20     20

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6300 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 6000 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 6 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO WEST-SOUTHWEST 12
                    TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 49.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING C.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........46     51     51     51     59     59
WEATHER COV.......S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............77     81     87     91     93     92
RH................96     84     69     61     58     59
20 FT WIND DIR....W      W      W      W      WSW    WSW
20 FT WIND SPD....4      5      5      5      7      8
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......300    200    3300   3300   6300   6000
MIX HGT (M).......90     60     1010   1010   1920   1830
TRANSP WIND DIR...W      W      W      W      WSW    WSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...6      7      9      9      12     13
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3      3      4      4      5      6
DISPERSION........4      1      31     31     47     50
LVORI.............8      6      3      3      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...F      C      C      C      C      C
CWR...............20     40     40     40     40     40

$$
FORECASTER...32
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150722.EGLIN.02/MOB



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