095
FNUS73 KMPX 051601
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Tierney WMA...MN DNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1101 AM CDT Sun May 5 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on May 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION... For Tierney WMA, south winds around 7 mph
at ignition with an uptick to 7-12 mph by mid afternoon. Transport
winds remain southerly 8-13 mph and skies will be mostly clear
through the evening hours.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........62 at ignition...Max 69.
RH..................48 percent at ignition...Min 40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 7 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /39300 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /66000 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6000 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 3.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............62  63  65  66  67  67  66  64  61  57  55  54
RH..............48  44  41  42  40  40  42  46  53  62  66  69
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..7   8   9   10  10  12  12  10  9   8   9   9
20 FT wind gust.10  12  13  14  15  14  14  14  13  13  13  14
Mix hgt (kft)...5.6 5.9 5.9 6.0 6.0 5.3 4.3 3.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  S
Transp wind spd.8   9   9   12  13  13  13  14  10  12  12  13
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........Min 47.
RH..................Max 83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (46800 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3900 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Temperature.........Max 75.
RH..................Min 46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Southeast winds 12 to 21 mph increasing
                    to 22 to 26 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (105700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (117700
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 16 to 25 mph increasing to 28 to 33
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Hewett
Requested by...Chad August
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413202.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/05/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Chad.august@state.mn.us