Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI

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000
FNUS73 KMQT 241019
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DIVERSION NORTH DAY 2...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
619 AM EDT FRI JUL 24 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON JULY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE
BURN SITE TOWARD EVENING ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. PRECIPITATION
AMOUNTS WILL BE TRICKY...BUT GENERALLY LESS THAN .20 INCH IS EXPECTED
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THUNDERSTORMS.
SOUTHERLY WINDS TODAY WILL BE ON THE INCREASE AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT...WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL REACH INTO THE MID 80S AT THE BURN SITE WITH DEW
POINTS IN THE 60S...MAKING FOR MINIMUM RH VALUES AROUND 45 PERCENT.

SATURDAY WILL SEE W-NW WINDS GUSTING TO 15-20 MPH IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE IN THE MID 40S.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 19 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH 7 TO 11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 29
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (479) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (806) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1800...THEN 2 UNTIL 1900...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    4100-5300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    2100-3200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....NONE TO 0.02 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........38     30     28     33     42     55
WEATHER COV.....                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TEMP............64     76     85     85     84     81
RH..............93     62     45     44     48     56
33-FOOT WIND....SW 7   SW 7   SW 11  S 14   S 14   S 13
20-FOOT WIND....SW 6   SW 6   SW 9   S 11   S 11   S 10
WIND GUST.......8      8      14     18     18     21
VINDX KT-FT/100.15     231    479    625    806    648
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 7   W 8    SW 10  SW 14  SW 20  SW 23
MIX HGT (FT)....300    3100   5100   5200   4700   3200
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      2
HAINES INDEX....3      3      4      5      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY
                    LATE EVENING. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 10
                    MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE EVENING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 19 TO 35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (39).
LAL.................3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 2 UNTIL 0500...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1100 FT AGL.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.11 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........72     72     73     75     65     55
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TEMP............76     69     64     63     64     64
RH..............64     81     96     100    98     96
33-FOOT WIND....S 12   S 12   SW 10  W 9    W 9    NW 10
20-FOOT WIND....S 10   S 10   SW 8   W 7    W 7    NW 8
WIND GUST.......21     21     16     15     15     15
VINDX KT-FT/100.295    109    43     53     41     100
TRANSPORT WIND..S 25   SW 29  SW 28  W 24   NW 24  NW 25
MIX HGT (FT)....1100   400    200    300    200    400
LAL.............3      3      3      2      2      1

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 11 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (697) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (821)
                    LATE...THEN DECREASING TO FAIR (287) EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-4700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1700 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........45     36     27     17     13     12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............64     68     73     78     81     80
RH..............92     81     66     56     48     48
33-FOOT WIND....NW 12  NW 12  NW 13  NW 13  NW 13  NW 12
20-FOOT WIND....NW 10  NW 10  NW 10  NW 10  NW 10  NW 10
WIND GUST.......17     17     17     17     17     16
VINDX KT-FT/100.207    186    320    537    821    579
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 25  NW 22  NW 18  NW 16  NW 18  NW 20
MIX HGT (FT)....900    900    1800   3500   4700   3400
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      4      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...VOSS
REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150724.DIVER.01/MQT



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