Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS71 KPBZ 281948
FWSPBZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR RED CREEK FIRE...FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
348 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1541 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE FRM THE EAST AND WEST SIMULTANEOUSLY AS ATLANTIC
MOISTURE FEEDS BACK TOWARD A LOW MOVING IN FROM THE WEST. SHOWERS WILL
START TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT, BUT THE BEST CHANCE OF MEASURABLE AND
LASTING RAIN REMAINS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. A THOROUGHLY SOAKING
RAIN WILL BE LIKELY BY THAT TIME.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS DEVELOPING
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN
                    BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............54     68     74     79     85     85
WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD NUMRUS SCTTRD NUMRUS SCTTRD CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................60     55     53     52     52     52
RH..................81     100    100    100    100    100
20 FT WIND..........SE 5   SE 4   E 4    E 4    E 4    E 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     5      5      5      5      5

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 9
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 8 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 13 TO
                    21 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............85     85     87     89     91     92
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............                     CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP................51     52     56     60     63     62
RH..................100    100    99     85     78     82
20 FT WIND..........E 3    SE 3   SE 5   SE 6   SE 7   E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      10     10     15     15

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 9 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............94     96     94     93     91     90
WEATHER COV.........DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................57     54     53     53     53     52
RH..................93     100    100    100    100    100
20 FT WIND..........E 7    E 9    E 9    E 8    E 8    E 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     20     20     15     15

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............88     87     89     91     93     88
WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................52     52     52     56     61     60
RH..................100    100    100    91     78     76
20 FT WIND..........E 7    E 6    E 6    E 6    E 7    E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     15     15     15

$$
FORECASTER...FRIES
REQUESTED BY...CAMERON CRISP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160928.REDCR.02/PBZ



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